Here's a thread on #GeneralElections2024 Epic Showdown.

I am sticking my neck out to predict 3 big wickets that is going to fall in the Power Play.

1. AKHILESH YADAV (KANNAUJ)

Kannauj has been a traditional Samajwadi Party seat for decades. In the year 1967, Ram Manohar Lohia had won the seat, following which Janata Party held the seat twice, after which it became Mulayam Yadav’s bastion.
Akhilesh had won Kannauj first in 2000 and later represented it in 2004 and 2009. After he became the UP CM, his wife Dimple Yadav won the by-election unopposed. Dimple also won in 2014.
After almost 21 years of dominance, in 2019, BJP’s Subrata Pathak finally defeated Akhilesh’s wife Dimple Yadav, and with that, Kannauj turned saffron as it won the adjacent Yadav dominant constituencies, Firozabad and Badaun as well, while Dimple won in Mainpuri. SP had won all these 4 seats in 2014, despite the Narendra Modi wave.
Interestingly, days after SP Party had declared Akhilesh’s nephew Tej Pratap Yadav (SiL of Lalu Yadav) as its candidate, Akhilesh himself filed nomination from Kannauj. SP cadre went to Lucknow signaling growing unrest within the party over the choice of Tej Pratap's candidacy.
Sources suggest that the cadre was also dejected that Bhabhi ji left them. First the 2019 loss, then the loss in 4 out of five assembly segments has made Dimple Yadav move to Mainpuri during the 2022 by-poll. Kannauj has 5 assembly segments – Chhibramau, Tirwa, Kannauj (SC), and Rasulabad (SC) are held by BJP, while the Bidhuna is with SP. That’s why Bhabhi Ji has decided to contest again from Mainpuri.
BJP's sitting MP and party's candidate Subrata Pathak says, "I have already said to Akhilesh that no one other than you will not be able to give a fight to us (BJP), as we have defeated Dimple here, and he has listened and understood to my suggestion. It's good, people will get to see a good fight.
Now the most crucial factor. Kannauj’s demography is – Muslim 15%, Hindus 83%, that comprises 16% Yadavs, 15% Brahmans, 10% Rajput, 22% SCs, and 17% other OBC and Dalits. BSP has always been the main opposition of SP in Kannauj before BJP became a factor. Despite a steady decline, BSP still enjoys 10-15% of its loyal votes.
In 2019, BJP’s Subrat Pathak defeated Dimple Yadav despite BSP being their ally. This time BSP has fielded Imran Bin Zafar and will cut a sizeable 8-10% of the opposition votes.
Kannauj has a habit of creating history and on June 4, a new history will be written when Akhilesh Yadav loses the election from Kannauj, from where he began his political journey. 2. SUPRIYA SULE (BARAMATI)

In the Baramati, all eyes are on the ongoing Pawar family feud. The stage is set for a fierce battle between Sunetra Pawar, NCP leader Ajit Pawar’s wife, and the incumbent Supriya Sule, daughter of Sharad Pawar. The battle for Baramati will decide the real political heir to the Pawar empire and its political legacy.
Supriya Sule has won this seat since 2009. Baramati has been Sharad Pawar’s fiefdom since 1967. All his LS candidates have won from here including Ajit (1991). The enormous influence Mr. Sharad Pawar wields over Baramati is still feared as the old man’s potent ‘X factor.’
However, today, the old fox, whose politics remained centered around cheating, deceit, scams, and siding with anti-national forces, appears check-mated by his own protege.
Baramati consists of six Assemblies. BJP represents Khadakwasla and Daund, while the NCP, led by Ajit Pawar, has its MLAs in Baramati and Indapur. Today, there’s no MLA from the NCP (SP) camp. That leaves Ms. Sule and her father dependent on the goodwill of their MVA ally, the Congress, which holds the Bhor and Purandar segments. Whereas the fact is, Congress is weakest since inception.
Khadakwasla, which has the largest concentration of voters (4.7 lakh) is firmly in the grip of BJP. So is the Daund Assembly, represented by BJP’s Rahul Kul, whose wife Kanchan Kul (BJP’s candidate in 2019 GE), performed creditably, garnering 40% plus vote share. Though Ms. Sule’s securing 52% votes, won with a comfortable margin of 1.5 lakh votes. Both Khadakwasla and Daund had voted against Ms. Sule in the last election and vote again against her.
This leaves - Baramati and neighboring Indapur, both totally dominated by Mr. Ajit. Ajit Pawar has been an MLA from Baramati a record seven-times since 1991. Last time in the undivided NCP, Mr. Ajit as “campaign manager” had ensured a lead of 1.25 lakh votes for his cousin from Baramati Assembly segment alone.
This time around, Mr. Ajit, along with the BJP top brass and the NDA alliance, have thrown their full weight behind Suentra Pawar. Ajit Pawar and the NDA also have the advantage of being in power in Maharashtra.
That helped him smoothly reconcile with his formidable adversary - former Minister and Eknath Shinde-led Shiv Sena camp leader Vijay Shivtare from Purandar (part of Baramati). Mr. Shivtare, who to overthrow the Pawar clan, was planning to enter the Baramati contest as the ‘third challenger’, has now pledged to give a lead of 50,000 votes from Purandar to Sunetra Pawar. Likewise, the NDA top brass has managed rapprochement between Mr. Ajit and his bitter rival from Indapur, ex-Minister Harshawardhan Patil.
The Mahayuti has also managed to keep RSP leader Mahadev Jankar on their side, who was on the verge of joining Sharad Pawar’s camp. It was Jankar, an influential Dhangar (shepherd) community leader, who gave Supriya a scare in 2014 LS election, securing 4.5 lakh votes.
While Supriya has attacked the BJP for causing a split within the family, Ajit, CM Shinde and Fadnavis have all been insisting that the Baramati contest is a fight between PM Modi and Rahul Gandhi, and not between Sharad Pawar and his nephew, and certainly not between Supriya and Sunetra.
For the core NCP supporters, on one side there’s 83 yr. old Sharad Pawar, and on the other, a leader, who has been steering the party for over a decade and is also in power. Ajit is openly asking his cadre, to not get emotional, but think of your future generations.
In Maharashtra, especially in rural and tribal areas, the people are more concerned about their basic needs. BJP is banking on its excellent groundwork both by the Central Govt as well as the recent failure of the MVA Govt. Baramati is not only a predominantly rural, but also a Hindu majority constituency, with 90% Hindus, 5% Muslim and 5% represent other faiths.
On top of that, Ajit’s NCP also has the Party symbol, that matters a lot in a rural constituency, where a lot of electorates find their loyalty with the ‘Symbol’.
Now, simple numbers. BJP has its own 40% plus vote share, that it fetched last time against united NCP. If Ajit Pawar can manage even 20% of NCP votes towards NDA, the tide would turn. Supriya Sule is losing Baramati by more than 1 lakh votes.

हज़रात! हज़रात! हज़रात!

आ रहा है देश का सबसे सटीक चुनावी सर्वेक्षण
जानिए क्या कहता है देश के सीट पर जनता का मन, जहाँ होगा हर एक चुनाव क्षेत्र का ज़मीनी विश्लेषण!
क्या होगा इस बार #अबकी_बार_४००_पार?

क्या है भाजपा के गठबंधन सहयोगियों का हाल?

किस हद तक बिखर रही है कांग्रेस? क्या कांग्रेस बचा पाएगी अपने न्यूनतम ४४ सीटों का रिकॉर्ड? क्या बचा पाएंगे INDI सहयोगी कांग्रेस की डूबती नैय्या?

दिल थाम के बैठिये!
कल शाम से पर्दाफाश होंगे राज्य दर राज्य - डेटा, तर्क और जमीनी धारणा के बारीक अध्ययन पर आधारित इन सर्वेक्षण के परिणाम !

#GeneralElections2024 #OpinionPoll Ladies and gentlemen!
The country's most accurate election survey is coming. Know what's the ground reality and public mood of each of the 543 constituencies under poll!

Is #AbkiBaar400Paar a realistic call?

How many seats @BJP4India is winning on it's own? What is the position NDA alliance partners?

Will Congress be able to save its record of minimum 44 seats? Can the #IndiaAllaince partners have in them to save Congress's sinking ship?

WATCH THIS PLACE!!

The results of these surveys will be revealed state by state from tomorrow evening – based on a detailed study of data, logic and ground perception!

#GeneralElections2024 #OpinionPollShwetank

My only issue here is referring these Lutyens Delhi's entitled scums as "Animal Activists."
They are part of a closely connected, entitled gang. But for their web of interconnectedness, they get out of all misdeeds and accusations. This woman – Ambika Shukla was accused of gifting (selling) rare pet animals seized from a pet shop owner, while being the Director of Sanjay Gandhi Animal Care Centre (SGACC).
Swift operation. And swiftly let off.
Courtesy: The web of interconnectedness!
deccanherald.com/national/north…

Congress spokie @drajoykumar attacks #DroupadiMurmu, calling she "represents an evil philosophy of India" is the most disgusting remark, we all agree.
Must to tell you about Dr Ajoy's journey: How Congress (the Cancer in Indian politics) can have such degrading effect.
A THREAD:

https://twitter.com/ANI/status/1547081550226788352

An MBBS, @drajoykumar was selected for the Indian Police Services in 1986.
30 yrs ago, when Jharkhand was part of Bihar, industrial town Jamshedpur was reeling under the terror of mafias, Tata Steel MD JJ Irani asked Bihar Govt to bring in a policeman to cure the city from it.

MUMBAI NEEDS METRO!
But India haters (disguised as environment activists) don't want you to know the facts about #AareyForest & #MumbaiMetro3
No need trolling bollywood actors who get trapped by the falsehood propagators!
I share facts in this thread: Faketivists know that 'in the celebration of being a celebrity, its important to feel passionate about environmental concerns.'
So, they use the soft target (Bollywood actors) to obstruct every high importance infra project.
Aam Janata mock/troll them. Real culprits hide behind.

आज लल्लुआ का पछुआ खोल दूँगा Documented the SINS OF LALU, from the era of #JungleRaj in #Bihar when we grew in that living hell, just for records.
Do read and share.
myind.net/Home/viewArtic…