A thread.
Urbit *is* winning. It cleared technical hurdles, solved intractable computer science problems, & developed a unique & antifragile open source culture. It has a single-language stack, a robust educational program, & active dev ecosystem. Startups make big bets on #Urbit success.
Core dev has an open-door policy. The roadmap and grants are public, devs regularly work and meet in gather.town, and core dev has a commitment to merge all good contributions.