Share this page!

Enter URL or ID to Unroll

You can paste full URL like: https://x.com/threadreaderapp/status/1644127596119195649
or just the ID like: 1644127596119195649

How to get URL link on X (Twitter) App

  1. On the Twitter thread, click on or icon on the bottom
  2. Click again on or Share Via icon
  3. Click on Copy Link to Tweet
  4. Paste it above and click "Unroll Thread"!
  5. More info at Twitter Help
Serhiy Kudelia Profile picture
Serhiy Kudelia
@skudelia
Political Science Prof @Baylor; author “Seize the City, Undo the State” @OxUniPress; research pol violence and institutions; Ukr & Ru politics.
Nov 25, 2023 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
Arakhamia’s comments about Ukr-Rus talks in 2022 revealed nothing new. It was widely known that Ukr neutrality was Moscow’s central demand and that the West had strong reservations about it. But there was one more contentious issue that Arakhamia forgot to mention. 👇 Zelensky announced that Ukraine could agree to neutrality as part of the peace deal with Russia on March 27 - after five rounds of talks between Rus and Ukr officials. reuters.com/world/europe/u…
Mar 24, 2022 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
My op-ed on the obstacles Zelensky faces if he decides to turn Ukraine to neutrality and how NATO may help him make this change a bit more tenable. opendemocracy.net/en/odr/nato-uk… 1) Public opinion in Ukraine expects quick victory and would see N as surrender under pressure; 2) Political elites long supported NATO entry and would be reluctant to amend the Constitution; 3) Neutrality is effective only as voluntary choice, not an imposed necessity.
Feb 26, 2022 • 8 tweets • 1 min read
Latest from the UA cities under RU assault based on local sources. THREAD NORTH: SUMY, 260K oblast center: reports of street clashes between local defense units and RU troops; UA destroy RU gas trucks moving through; RU troops take over local hospital, bring wounded RU soldiers. CHERNIHIV, 280K oblast center: no RU troops reported, defense mobilization
Feb 25, 2022 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
After roughly 30 hrs of fighting in Ukraine Russia still lacks control over any major towns or oblast centers in the areas that were under initial assault. Here is the latest from local sources on most contested towns. THREAD SOUTH: 1. Henichesk, town of 20K on Azov sea, earlier reported captured, but UA govt and other services operating as of this morning; 2. Melitopol, town of 100K on route to Zaporizzhia, shelled overnight,reported RU vehicles passing through, but UA municipal govt in place.
Feb 24, 2022 • 7 tweets • 1 min read
Putin announced abstract objectives in his declaration of war, but his exact tactical and strategic goals remain unclear. I see at least five possibilities. THREAD 1. Capture additional territories in the South/East/North, but refrain from taking oblast capital cities. Then use them to bargain for a new settlement with the West resulting in federalism, neutrality clauses for Ukraine and recognition of Crimea/Donbas loss.