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People know the risks they are taking by using irregular routes. Most aren't looking at social media thinking, "I was going to stay here and face almost certain death, persecution or abuse, but now I have seen this TikTok video I'll risk my life on dangerous routes."
https://x.com/jdportes/status/1819478379432722642?t=Jhe96Fclmg6XjzocvcVigA&s=19
https://twitter.com/stand_for_all/status/1813607460097364248The second is how much harder it is going to be for organisations and individuals fighting for migrants' rights. A lot of support over the last 14 years wasn't "pro-migrants rights". It was "anti-conservative". Obviously this isn't new though. 2/
First off, this isn't new. Anyone remember the Clandestine Channel Threat Commander for example. Secondly, as explained in the linked thread, and as strange as this may sound, increased border security actually strengthens smuggling gangs. 2/https://x.com/stand_for_all/status/1813129441083617695
Look at Essex for example, where Reform won two of its five seats. It has substantially lower immigration than the UK average, yet higher than average levels of deprivation in parts. This makes people an easy target for messages which scapegoat migrants. 2/

You cannot accurately predict immigration trends over this period of time. They are too susceptible to change. Figures like this are used frequently to scaremonger about immigration, but the reality is that picking numbers out of a hat would be as accurate. 2/
Instead of criticising @Conservatives for incompetence, @UKLabour should be focused on their inhumanity. All the evidence shows that if you want to reduce people using irregular routes, and thereby tackle gangs, you need to make it safer and simpler for people to seek asylum. 2/
Do some adults try and pretend to be children? Yes, some do. There's no denying that, but they form a minority. When people quote "age discrepancy" statistics etc, what they tend to miss out is that children are far more likely to be treated as adults than the other way round. 2/
When you say that you want to "axe" the principle of non-refoulement, you are, deliberately or otherwise, saying that you have no issues with innocent people being persecuted, tortured or killed. You know, so long as it is somewhere else and you don't have to watch. 2/
I am begging journalists to stop claiming the Australian system is:




