Stuart Gietel-Basten (@stuartgb.bsky.social) Profile picture
Population, health and surveys. Professor, Khalifa University, UAE
Jul 16, 2020 40 tweets 11 min read
Yesterday, I shared a few thoughts on the *coverage* of the new #GBD future #population estimates.

Now, I want to spend some time thinking more about their numbers and how GBD present them. SPOILER: I think they are being a bit disingenuous.

THREAD (as they say) (1/x) I think that this 'implication is deeply problematic and a gross over-simplification. It takes a very deterministic view of the population which is not especially helpful (or scientifically astute). Anyway, let's focus more on the method)... (1a/x)
Mar 16, 2019 14 tweets 5 min read
I'm thinking of writing something on replacement fertility rates, maybe for @ConversationUK, just to set a few things straight. Just some misunderstandings which should be ironed out.
(1)
Let's not talk about the batshit crazy world which many people inhabit, where migration is seen as an evil conspiracy. But rather just focus on the issue of replacement rate fertility as a 'thing'. (2)