Andrew Therriault Profile picture
Data scientist, founder @civin_co, also @Harvard @Northeastern @PyDataBOS & formerly @CityofBoston @TheDemocrats etc. @therriault@data-folks.masto.host
Nov 9, 2022 26 tweets 7 min read
So... we need to talk about how to present "votes remaining" model estimates when there pretty clearly aren't votes remaining, because what's currently being done is going to feed misinformation promoters and election deniers. 🧵(1/) For context, mail-in votes grew from less than a quarter of all ballots in 2016 to almost half in 2020 (because, you know, reasons). That year, another quarter voted early in person, so less than a third of votes were cast on election day. See fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-… (2/)
Nov 4, 2020 19 tweets 4 min read
Everyone needs to, respectfully, chill the fuck out. Only thing we're pretty sure of at this point is that Florida is probably going to disappoint, but we don't need Florida. And everything else is still TBD! Let's go down the list. Georgia? We're behind, but most of Atlanta is still outstanding. And we don't need it to win anyway.