Thread | 🇺🇦 @FedorovMykhailo 's own farewell post, listing 22 achievements, followed his dismissal, not a resignation, per Kyiv Independent sourcing. Zelensky removed him as Defense Minister after a meeting with military leadership on July 15, following Prime Minister @Svyrydenko_Y 's own resignation the day before, which triggered a broader cabinet reshuffle.

Zelensky had reportedly offered Fedorov the position of head of the future Cabinet of Ministers instead, but he declined, wanting to continue the military reforms he'd started.

Interior Minister Ihor Klymenko has been offered the Defense Ministry role, a lawmaker told Kyiv Independent, though Klymenko's own spokesperson said he was "surprised by the president's proposal."

2/4 ⬇️ MP Yaroslav Zheleznyak: Zelensky said he "cannot choose between Syrskyi and Fedorov," and that Fedorov "failed the reform of the TCC," Ukraine's territorial recruitment centers, the mobilization system that's remained one of the war's most persistent points of friction between civilians and the military.

That detail matters: it suggests Fedorov's removal wasn't purely about defense-tech performance, the area where his own list of achievements is genuinely substantial, but about an unresolved tension with Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi specifically over recruitment authority.

3/4 ⬇️

Trump, in Ankara: "Denmark doesn't spend money to really help Greenland, but it's an important part for the United States. Greenland should be controlled by the United States, not by Denmark."

This is the mildest version of a dispute that escalated dramatically earlier this year. In January, right after the U.S. intervention in Venezuela that captured Nicolás Maduro, White House Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller said the U.S. has the right to take Greenland. His wife Katie Miller posted a map of the island covered in the American flag with one word: "SOON." Trump then said publicly he "doesn't need international law," that full ownership was "psychologically needed for success," and posted on Truth Social: "NATO: Tell Denmark to get them out of here, NOW!" while falsely claiming Danish forces in Greenland amounted to "two dogsleds." 🧵 2/4 ⬇
x.com/PolymarketInte… Trump threatened tariffs on Denmark starting at 10% on February 1, rising to 25% on June 1 unless Copenhagen agreed to sell Greenland, and extended the same tariff threat to Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the UK, the Netherlands, and Finland for participating in a NATO Arctic exercise called Operation Arctic Endurance. In a leaked message to Norway's PM meant to be shared with world leaders, Trump linked his own posture directly to being passed over for the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, writing he no longer felt an "obligation to think purely of Peace."

He walked all of it back at Davos in late January, pledging not to use force or tariffs to take Greenland. Denmark, for its part, has actually been increasing its Arctic defense spending since, a 14.6 billion krone plan announced in 2025, and led a NATO exercise there with more than 550 troops from five countries. 🧵 3/4 ⬇

🚨 🇺🇦 Christopher Miller, FT, from Kyiv right now: a series of several Russian ballistic missile strikes hitting the capital, explosions throughout the city.
This is the massive strike Zelensky warned about hours ago, "right after America's Independence Day and before the NATO Summit in Ankara." The intelligence was right about the timing. Trump leaves for Ankara tomorrow night.

https://x.com/thetect0nic/status/2073900337027555429

🚨 🇺🇦

https://twitter.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/2073901629191975373

🧵 THREAD | 🇺🇦 🇷🇺 | 29/06/2026

The Unmanned Systems Forces expanded their presence in the enemy's operational depth in June. During the month: 31 enemy air defense assets struck. Since the formation of the USF Grouping in June 2025: 276 total air defense assets destroyed - 169 SAM systems and SPAAGs, 76 radar stations, 31 electronic warfare systems.

In the last 72 hours alone: Pantsir-S1 destroyed in Crimea. ST-68 radar destroyed in Crimea. 48Ya6-K1 Podlyot radar destroyed in Crimea. Fuel tank railcars struck in Crimea. Fuel storage facility in Zaporizhzhia struck. Two fuel tankers struck. A locomotive in Bryansk, Russia, taken out. A harbor tug in Kherson destroyed.

The systematic destruction of Russia's air defense radar network is the reason FP-5 Flamingo cruise missiles are reaching Volgograd and Tyumen.

You clear the eyes first. Then the reach expands. 🧵 ⬇

x.com/usf_army/statu… The fuel crisis map as of end of June 2026: More than 20 attacks on Russian refineries since the beginning of the year. Eight of Russia's ten largest refineries have been hit. Approximately 25% of total refining capacity has been knocked offline. Gasoline production has fallen by approximately 25%. Fuel shortages or sales restrictions are now recorded in 50 to 60 Russian regions.

The IEA stated that this level of disruption is "unprecedented in the history of the Russia-Ukraine conflict."

The Carnegie Endowment analysis adds the structural vulnerability: all three refineries supplying Moscow via pipeline - Yaroslavl, Ryazan, and Kstovo - have been damaged. Moscow accounts for 14% of Russia's passenger cars and 40% of its air passenger traffic. Even if the government can find the fuel volumes, delivering them by railroad to Moscow is the next bottleneck.

The Soufan Center frames the dynamic as a race: "The amount of gasoline available in Russia is determined by a race between Ukrainian drones and Russian repair teams." 🧵⬇

🧵 🇺🇲 The Wall Street Journal’s visual investigation changes the way the Iran war should be understood. The United States inflicted enormous damage on Iran. But Iran also proved something Washington can no longer ignore: America’s Middle East basing architecture was built for an earlier era.

According to satellite imagery, social-media footage and interviews analyzed by the WSJ, Iranian missiles and drones repeatedly targeted Naval Support Activity Bahrain - the nerve center of U.S. naval operations in the region.

Some got through. The damage was extensive.

The headquarters of the U.S. Navy’s Fifth Fleet was hit and is reportedly no longer usable. At least a dozen other buildings were damaged, including warehouses, barracks, emergency facilities, water infrastructure and communications nodes.

Two satellite communications terminals were destroyed.

NSA Bahrain is not a symbolic outpost. It is the anchor of American naval power in the Middle East.

Iran did not need to sink the Fifth Fleet to make its point. It needed to show that the infrastructure sustaining it is within reach.

Image below: Damaged sites include warehouses, a water tank, two satellite communications terminals and a communications management facility, and the headquarters building for the U.S. Navy in the Middle East. Airbus 🧵 2/4 ⬇ The Pentagon says no one was killed at NSA Bahrain and that operations were not significantly affected.

That may be true, but buildings are not irrelevant. Command headquarters matter. Satellite terminals and Warehouses matter. Water systems and emergency facilities matter. A base is not just a flag on a map. It is a network of communications, logistics, maintenance, housing, storage, command nodes and redundancy.

Iran hit that network.

The WSJ estimates construction costs at NSA Bahrain alone at about $400 million - and that excludes debris removal, contents, hardening and other reconstruction costs.

CSIS estimates total damage to U.S. bases from the war at roughly $2.2 billion to $5.1 billion, with the total cost of the war around $40 billion.

But the cost is not the central point. The central point is strategic. Iran forced the United States to reconsider its physical footprint in the Middle East.

Video below: Social-media video, verified by The Wall Street Journal, shows an Iranian Shahed drone’s attack on an American satellite communications tower.

🧵 3/4 ⬇

🧵 THREAD 18/06/2026 🇺🇦 🇷🇺

"Russian commanders recommend suicide. The Third Corps and GUR recommend a chatbot." Ukrainian forces are escorting Russian prisoners off the frontline using drones.

The 66th Mechanized Brigade retrieving voluntary Russian prisoners via drone. The Third Corps and Ukraine's Military Intelligence running the "Hochuzhyt" ("I Want to Live") surrender chatbot - @hochuzhit_com.

On interrogation, Russian soldiers told Ukrainian intelligence that their commanders are punishing them with assault missions - and instead of advising surrender, recommending "self-shooting."

The soldiers who keep following criminal orders will not return home. The ones who surrender can. 🧵 ⬇️

x.com/ab3army/status… 🧵 🇺🇦 🇷🇺 Ukraine's largest drone offensive against Moscow since the full-scale war began.

The Kapotnya oil refinery - 15 kilometers from the Kremlin, supplying over a third of Moscow's fuel - struck for the second time this week.

194 drones intercepted on approach to the capital. 5 fires at the refinery. Commercial flights disrupted. 17 people injured, including 2 children.

Black rain fell on Moscow.

Zelensky: "If Ukraine burns, your Moscow will burn too." 🧵 ⬇️

x.com/AFP/status/206…

🧵 THREAD 🇺🇦 🇷🇺
One year ago, Ukraine's Third Army Corps deployed as a single fighting unit for the first time.

In 12 months under Brigadier General Andriy Biletsky:

300,000+ drone strike missions. 17,000+ enemy drones shot down. 18,000+ ground robot logistics runs - delivering 4,500 tonnes of cargo and completing 600+ evacuations of wounded without risk to personnel. 35,000 Russian troops eliminated. 150km of frontline held - the longest single responsibility zone in the Ukrainian Army.

The Corps deployed its own drone regiment KRAKEN, its own air defense regiment Aquila, its own hospital, clinical blood bank, and Patron Service "Angels of the Third" - through which 85% of the wounded return to service.

Every second ground robot in Ukraine's Armed Forces fights in the Third Corps.

One year. One unit. One front.

🧵⬇️

x.com/ab3army/status… 🧵 🇷🇺 The moment of the drone strike on the Moscow oil refinery in Kapotnya - 15 kilometers from the Kremlin.

OSINT researchers suggesting key equipment was hit.

Zelensky confirmed the operation - SBU, Unmanned Systems Forces, Special Operations Forces, and Military Intelligence all involved.

The refinery supplies 40% of petroleum products for the Moscow metropolitan area, including fuel for the capital's airports.

The refinery began an emergency pressure shutdown before the drones arrived. They hit it anyway.

🧵 ⬇️
x.com/Gerashchenko_e…

🧵 📰 MORNING BRIEF | DAY 94
Monday, June 1, 2026

Day 94 begins with the WSJ confirming the full overnight sequence. Saturday and Sunday: U.S. warplanes struck Iranian radar sites and drone command-and-control facilities on Qeshm Island and Gorik - in response to Iran shooting down a U.S. MQ-1 drone. Two Iranian attack drones threatening ships also intercepted.

Sunday night into Monday: Kuwait came under attack by missiles and drones. The Kuwaiti military confirmed active interceptions. Kuwait officially blamed Iran and condemned the attacks as "a dangerous escalation."

Iran's IRGC framing: the Kuwait strikes were retaliation for the U.S. attacks on Qeshm and Gorik.

The Iran deal context: Trump indicated over the weekend a deal was close. Mediators say nuclear commitments, financial timing, and Hormuz governance remain unresolved. The counter-amendments are still being processed in a bunker.

Trump posted Monday morning that Iran wants a deal - but that domestic U.S. criticism is making it harder to achieve one.

"The ceasefire is intact." - Washington.

Day 94. The sequence since April 8: every week, an exchange of fire described as "self-defense." Every week, the deal is "close."

The architecture of a ceasefire that shoots back - in both directions - every 72 hours. 🧵⬇

https://x.com/thetect0nic/status/2061395398162260424

🧵 While the deal is being negotiated, Iran is rebuilding what the bombs buried.

CNN satellite analysis published Sunday: Iran has reopened 50 of 69 tunnel entrances struck at 18 underground missile facilities - using bulldozers, dump trucks, and basic construction equipment.

Approximately 1,000 missiles remain stored deep underground - unlikely to have sustained significant damage from surface strikes.

"The Iranians have exceeded all timelines the intelligence community had for reconstitution." - U.S. official to CNN.

Trump listed "completely degrading Iranian missile capability" as one of the five war objectives.

50 of 69 tunnel entrances are open. The full breakdown quoted.
🧵⬇️

https://x.com/thetect0nic/status/2061190734565270010

🧵 🇷🇺 🇺🇦 Russia's Foreign Ministry warned foreign citizens to leave Kyiv tonight - announcing "systematic strikes" on defense industrial facilities, decision-making centers, and command posts.

The reason they gave: retaliation for Ukraine's attacks on Russian territory.

The real reason @TheStudyofWar documented today: Ukraine has reclaimed battlefield momentum, and Russia's spring-summer offensive has ground to near zero.

Putin is striking Kyiv because he's losing the war. Not winning it.

🧵
ISW published a special report today: Ukraine is actively challenging the positional character of the war.

Russian battlefield gains are approaching net zero.
Ukraine suffered a net territorial loss in April for the first time since August 2024, by Russia.
In April 2026: Russia recorded a net territorial loss for the first time since August 2024.

"Ukraine has re-secured an overall drone advantage and fielded systems capable of disrupting Russian forces throughout their operational depth."

"Ukraine likely has a unique and time-constrained opportunity to exploit its current initiative while Russian forces remain vulnerable."

This is ISW, the most rigorous open-source tracker of the war. Not Ukrainian propaganda.

🇪🇺 🇷🇺 NATO's generals warn of Russian attack on NATO by 2029. Europe won't be ready until 2035. That gap - six years between threat and readiness - is usually the headline.

What isn't the headline: Ukraine is winning the war that was supposed to last six months. And the gap between Russia's capacity and Ukraine's momentum is closing faster than anyone predicted in February 2022. 🧵
ISW assessment this week: Russia has failed to make meaningful gains in its spring-summer 2026 offensive. Ukraine has contested the tactical initiative in several frontline areas. Russian forces have failed to defend their deep rear against increasingly devastating Ukrainian strikes.

⚠️ DeepState monitoring: Russia gained half as much territory in Donetsk in April as in March, and a sixth of what it captured in December 2025.

The trend line is Ukrainian.

Meanwhile, Russia is conducting unannounced nuclear exercises, ISW's assessment: to mask battlefield weakness, not project genuine strength.

🧵 THE SHRINKING DELEGATION

In 2017, Donald Trump arrived in Beijing with 29 American CEOs. This week, he arrives with 16.
The composition itself is the story. Nvidia is not on the list. No frontier AI laboratory is on the list. No defense major is on the list. No pharma is on the list, except Illumina in genomics specifically.

What each executive carries to Beijing, and what the absences mean, is what this thread reads. ✈️ AVIATION

Kelly Ortberg, Boeing. Boeing is closing in on what would be its largest single sale in company history: roughly 500 737 MAX aircraft, with a separate widebody package of around 100 jets under discussion for later. The last major Chinese order was November 2017, valued at $37 billion at list prices for 300 aircraft. Without this summit, Ortberg has said publicly, Boeing's near-term Chinese pipeline is dependent on the bilateral relationship itself.

H. Lawrence Culp Jr., GE Aerospace. Every Boeing widebody ordered by Chinese carriers flies with GE engines. The widebody portion of the package, while expected to be announced separately from the 737 deal, is structurally a GE deal as much as a Boeing one. Culp is present because Ortberg's negotiation is also his.

Today in Paris, forty-plus nations convene to construct a protection regime for the Strait of Hormuz. The initiative has a formal name: the Strait of Hormuz Maritime Freedom of Navigation Initiative. The United States is not part of the planning. The absence is the architecture. What closed the strait was insurance, not missiles. Within 48h of the Feb. strikes, war-risk premiums jumped roughly sixty-fold. The Lloyd's Joint War Committee redesignated the entire Gulf a conflict zone. Transit collapsed ninety-five percent before Iran laid a single mine.

🧵 REGIMES THAT DON'T BREAK

Iran survived 44 days of the most intense aerial campaign since Iraq 2003.

North Korea has survived 70 years of sanctions, famine, and isolation.

Russia has survived two years of the most comprehensive economic warfare in modern history.

The question isn't whether these regimes can be pressured.

It's why pressure keeps failing to break them. 🧵 Edward Howell, Oxford University: "There is a much higher tolerance for pain among authoritarian regimes. That's because we see very little evidence of them prioritizing the needs of their people."

The population absorbs the pain. The leadership doesn't feel it.

Trump's maximum pressure model assumes a pain threshold that authoritarian regimes structurally don't have.

Iran's 1,701 civilian casualties. Russia's hundreds of thousands killed in Ukraine. North Korea's mass famines, regime intact in all three cases.

The pain is real. The accountability is absent.

34 days. One war. This is what it cost the people who didn't start it.
1,606 civilians killed in Iran, including 244 children. 1,318 killed in Lebanon since March 2.
50+ killed across Gulf nations.
17 killed in Israel. 13 U.S. service members dead, 350+ wounded.
Every number is a person. This thread is about the people.
🧵 In Iran, the dead include children in a school in Minab on Day 1. More than 170 killed, mostly students, when a strike hit near a military complex their school bordered.

The WHO identified 13 health infrastructure sites struck in the first week alone. The Pasteur Institute, founded in 1920, was destroyed yesterday. It produced vaccines for 90 million people.
244 children among the 1,606 civilians documented by the Human Rights Activists News Agency, and HRANA has "limited access to locations where military forces are present." The actual number is likely higher.