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Oct 6, 2024 4 tweets 4 min read
Cloud seeding is a form of weather modification that involves dispersing substances into the air to change the amount or type of precipitation. Here's how it generally works:
Seeding Agents: The most common substances used for cloud seeding are silver iodide, dry ice (solid carbon dioxide), and liquid propane. These agents act as nuclei around which moisture can condense or freeze, forming ice crystals that can then grow and fall as rain or snow.
Delivery Methods:
Aircraft: Planes fly over clouds and release the seeding agents.
Ground-Based Generators: These are used in mountainous areas where upslope winds carry the seeding agents into the clouds.
Rocket and Artillery: In some places, rockets or artillery shells filled with seeding agents are fired into the clouds.
Purpose:
Increasing Precipitation: To enhance rainfall or snowfall in drought-affected areas.
Preventing Hail: By encouraging smaller hail to form instead of larger, damaging hailstones.
Reducing Fog: At airports, for instance, to improve visibility.
Effectiveness: The effectiveness of cloud seeding is still debated:
Scientific Studies: Some studies suggest increases in precipitation by up to 10-15%, but results can be inconsistent.
Challenges: It's difficult to isolate the effects of cloud seeding from natural weather variability.
Environmental Concerns: There are concerns about the environmental impact, particularly regarding the use of silver iodide. However, the amounts used are generally considered safe, and silver concentrations remain below harmful levels.
Legal and Ethical Considerations: There are also legal issues, especially when clouds move across borders, potentially affecting neighboring regions without their consent. Hail Suppression: Similar to cloud seeding but aimed at reducing the size of hailstones by dispersing materials into clouds to promote the formation of more but smaller ice particles, which reduces the impact of hail on crops and property.
Fog Dispersal: This involves seeding fog with hygroscopic materials or using heat to evaporate it, often at airports to improve visibility for safer takeoffs and landings.
Storm Modification: Techniques like hurricane modification have been theoretically discussed, involving the idea of seeding the outer rainbands of hurricanes to weaken them. Project Stormfury was an example, though its success has been debated.
Space-based Solutions:
Solar Radiation Management (SRM): Proposals include injecting aerosols into the stratosphere to reflect sunlight back into space, thereby cooling Earth. This is highly controversial due to potential unforeseen climate feedbacks.
Space Mirrors: Reflective surfaces in space to redirect sunlight, either to cool specific regions or as a global cooling strategy.
Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC): While primarily for energy generation, it could potentially alter local weather patterns by changing the temperature gradient in the ocean's layers.
Desalination and Water Vapor Enhancement: Techniques that involve increasing atmospheric moisture by evaporating seawater in arid regions, potentially leading to increased rainfall.
Geoengineering Proposals:
Ocean Fertilization: Adding nutrients like iron to the ocean to promote algal blooms, which absorb CO2. This could affect weather by altering ocean-atmosphere heat exchange but has significant environmental risks.
Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR): Techniques like afforestation or enhanced weathering aim to remove CO2 from the atmosphere, which indirectly could affect global weather patterns over long terms.
Electrical Ionization: Some theories suggest that by using electrical charges, either from the ground or via balloons or drones, one could manipulate the electrical properties of clouds to encourage or discourage precipitation.
Cloud Brightening (Marine Cloud Brightening): Involves spraying seawater into the air to increase the reflectivity of clouds, which could help cool regions by reflecting more sunlight back into space.
Weather Warfare: Historical and speculative methods where techniques like cloud seeding might be used in conflict scenarios to cause flooding or drought in enemy territories, though this is regulated by international treaties like the ENMOD Convention.