Todd N. Tucker Profile picture
Director, Industrial Policy & Trade @RooseveltInst @RooseveltFWD. Political scientist. PhD. @toddntucker@mastodon.world. https://t.co/blrrsumePY.
@Junior_prompt_engineer@mastodon.online (Mastodon) Profile picture 1 added to My Authors
Jan 26 16 tweets 8 min read
NEW @ForeignAffairs from @FeliciaWongRI and me:

A Tale of Two Industrial Policies:

How America and Europe Can Turn Trade Tensions Into Climate Progress
foreignaffairs.com/united-states/… This year's World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland turned at times into a freeform airing of grievances by EU lawmakers over Biden's Inflation Reduction Act and the impact it could have on EU producers.
politico.com/news/2023/01/1…
Jan 10 15 tweets 8 min read
Strong second.

I loved working with terrific editors @monkeycageblog, including @ejgraff @ErikVoeten @henryfarrell @vanessa_lide @ProfSaunders @segoddard and others, who helped make my academic and policy commentary legible to a wider audience.

11 hits of gratitude. Thread👇 When I had just defended my dissertation and was on the job market, @ErikVoeten encouraged me to try to develop some of my arguments around #ISDS for a policy audience. It ended up becoming a section of my book Judge Knot.
washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-c…
Jan 8 8 tweets 3 min read
The dream of the 90s is alive in Postland.
washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/… You might have thought that an essay that started with this triumphant victory lap for Bidenomics would conclude that more of the same would be wise.

You would be wrong. Image
Jan 7 4 tweets 2 min read
Frustration with American legalism, from 1894 AFL convention, in Fishkin and Forbath 2022 Image Corporate chartering as abdication of constitutional responsibility of federal government, provided for in commerce clause Image
Dec 24, 2022 4 tweets 2 min read
"If Stanley Cohen once defined the social phenomenon of the “moral panic”, one is tempted to say that what the IRA has unleashed in Europe is a “policy panic”: an echo-chamber of zealous & intense responses to a perceived existential threat." - @adam_tooze
adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-18… And here's an oped length dive from @adam_tooze on the Transatlantic politics of the IRA: An arms race on industrial policy is the last thing Europe needs.
ft.com/content/c609f8…
Nov 7, 2022 6 tweets 3 min read
Wow. The EU is not stopping at criticizing the electric vehicle tax credit. Instead they are taking aim at vast swaths of the climate provisions of the IRA. ImageImageImageImage Underlines the importance of @MESandbu's entreaty in today's @FT. The EU needs to decide whether it wants the decarbonization agenda the US can actually deliver, or no decarbonization agenda at all.

Ensure a livable planet, or cling to neoliberalism?
Nov 7, 2022 4 tweets 2 min read
A moribund WTO may soon be wrestling with The Biden Doctrine. This is the idea that there should be Green Peace between allies until there's sufficient clean products on the market, which is a decade or two off.
Nov 7, 2022 4 tweets 2 min read
If Dems keep the Senate, it will be due to union workers' votes, and union leaders and a handful of candidates that did an above-average job owning the legislative wins of the last few years. And here's an excellent illustration from @LaurenKGurley about the interconnection between industrial policy for manufacturing and the service sector (education, care, etc). Voters want both.
Oct 18, 2022 5 tweets 2 min read
ICYMI -Chip manufacturer Micron announced plans to build a $100 billion factory near Syracuse that would create nearly 50,000 jobs– the largest semiconductor manufacturing investment in U.S. history.
nytimes.com/2022/10/04/tec… This investment alone is projected to bring US market share of chip production from less than 2% to over 10% in the next decade.
whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/…
Oct 13, 2022 33 tweets 23 min read
Progressive Industrial Policy: 2022 and Beyond.

Video from our @rooseveltinst forum is now live!

17 speakers, 6 sessions, hundreds of thinkers and doers gathered.

What did it all mean? Here are Five Takeaways from your truly.

rooseveltinstitute.org/2022/10/13/fiv… #IndustrialPolicy2022 Let's start with some scene setting. It’s difficult to overstate how rapid industrial policy’s rise has been in progressive thinking and US policy more broadly.
Sep 1, 2022 4 tweets 2 min read
Time to read up on the WTO's General Agreement on Trade in Services and Modes 1 and 2. Thanks to Summers, Geithner, and others, the GATS had some consequences for financial sector deregulation lock-in. Now it could matter more broadly for facilitating offshoring of remote work. Some background on GATS and finance
citizen.typepad.com/eyesontrade/20…
Aug 31, 2022 6 tweets 4 min read
"For the first time since the modern era of climate politics began more than 30 years ago, the United States can credibly claim to be a leader on climate change." - @robinsonmeyer breaks down the ways the IRA will reshape global climate politics.
theatlantic.com/science/archiv… This by @greenlawchina is particularly astute.
Aug 27, 2022 6 tweets 3 min read
I am sympathetic to the view that - when the views of NGOs and elected officials (in legislatures, unions etc) conflict - policymakers should give a lot of deference to the latter. But if we're going to be absolutist about this democratic theory principle on pipelines, we probably should be on student debt too.
Aug 27, 2022 33 tweets 13 min read
With this nutty news cycle, neoliberal economists may have irreversibly burned the bridge to the only one of the two major US political parties that favors democracy and is against states subjecting half their population into forced labor. And for what? We're hearing very public cries of fire over (potentially) interesting findings for an academic seminar, when there is a democracy-ravaging fire around the corner.
Aug 26, 2022 12 tweets 5 min read
Democrats Might Get Exceptionally Lucky This Fall, and They Should Be Ready for That- another great piece by @jbouie

GOP has lost generic congressional ballot lead & has flawed Senate candidates, while House Dems chances are about what Trump's were in '16
nytimes.com/2022/08/26/opi… Bouie suggests we pivot from industrial policy to social policy, highlighting the child tax credit, reproductive rights, labor rights, and voting rights as priorities.

Yet, with the exception of voting, these could all be also conceived of as industrial policy, or related to IP.
Aug 24, 2022 16 tweets 8 min read
When society runs harmful experiments on humans, society should repair the damage to those humans.

It's pretty simple, and it should be the bare minimum of living in a civil society and democracy. Biden's student debt cancellation is a win and sets a precedent for broader reparative policies of the kind @FeliciaWongRI and @kstrickland_ discuss here @DemJournal in their piece on moving past neoliberalism and racial liberalism.
democracyjournal.org/arguments/beyo…
Aug 24, 2022 19 tweets 5 min read
This🧵 includes some important historical institutionalist-type points about the setting of when a bunch of stuff got built during the New Deal era versus the (early) postindustrial timing of the post 1970s environmental movement.

Some random reflections... Another HI point: the China trade shock and those that preceded it, contributing to much of capital, labor, and communities seeing less of a stake in material production. Goods show up on shelves, they're cheap, which is a lifesaver since wages are kept low + there aren't unions.
Aug 11, 2022 7 tweets 3 min read
It's not every (any previous?) USTR that gets invited to give a keynote at a major labor convention. Here's @AmbassadorTai at the @steelworkers convention in Nevada. Full remarks here:
ustr.gov/about-us/polic…
Aug 9, 2022 4 tweets 2 min read
"the Inflation Reduction Act would sweeten the pot, with the government extending the full $7,500 tax credit through 2032 while scrapping the 200,000 unit ceiling, which has already affected Tesla, GM and Toyota..."
washingtonpost.com/climate-enviro… "For more modest income earners, the tax credit will be refundable, meaning that regardless of the buyer’s income, the purchase price reflects the full tax credit..."
Aug 9, 2022 9 tweets 4 min read
Political lanes post-Dobbs (from smallest to largest?):

1. Forced labor, with modest increases in the social safety net. 👇 2. Forced labor, with a palpable lust for rolling back the existing safety net:

"This is not a new idea. This is a dumb old idea,” anti-tax crusader Grover Norquist of Americans for Tax Reform, said of family support — adding that it keeps showing up “like herpes or shingles.”
Aug 8, 2022 5 tweets 2 min read
Absolutely bizarre editorial decision to cap off 1.5 years of coverage of dinging Dems for not passing their agenda with an above the fold opinion piece by a retired columnist whose piece is less about IRA and more about how the right economic policy is... quietism? Image So children, the moral of the story is not that lack of party discipline or corruption - you know, the angles we've covered extensively - were the problem, it was trying to do anything at all. Why do you care so much? Sit back and let class discipline work its magic. ImageImage