Two Forces Colliding in Markets: Fear of Technology vs Fear of Not Owning It 🧵

Over the next five years, markets will be shaped less by traditional valuation debates and more by a deep psychological and generational clash.

Not bulls vs bears.
Not growth vs value.

But two fundamentally different fears - embodied by two types of investors. 👇 Investor Type I: Fear of Technology
The first group is older, experienced, and scarred.

They’ve lived through:

The dot-com crash
The GFC
Countless “this time is different” narratives

Their risk framework is shaped by bubble trauma.
To them, any company heavily leveraging a new technology is immediately suspect:

“Too much CAPEX”
“Too high multiples”
“Unproven returns”
“This reminds me of 1999”

They seek confirmation, not understanding.

So when:
Michael Burry expresses skepticism
Bloomberg runs a fear-heavy headline
CDS spreads widen on an AI-exposed company
They react defensively. They sell. They de-risk. They label it “prudence.”

This investor isn’t stupid.
They’re protecting themselves from repeating history.

But here’s the problem:
They’re fighting the last war.

🧵 Why I’m long ADTRAN Holdings $ADTN 📶: A deeply undervalued, misunderstood fiber-optic pure-play, positioned at the heart of global infrastructure, 5G, and AI data transport. Here’s the full 3–5 year thesis. 🌐📡 1/ 📡 Snapshot – What is $ADTN?

ADTRAN Holdings ($ADTN) is a global telecom infrastructure provider with a vertically integrated fiber networking portfolio:

• Fiber Access (FTTH, Combo-PON)

youtube.com/watch?v=-HmgoB…

youtube.com/watch?v=y5G_Pc…

• Optical Transport (metro/core DWDM)

youtube.com/watch?v=qHTWpd…

youtube.com/watch?v=CP1gXO…

• Network Synchronization (Oscilloquartz for 5G/utilities)

youtube.com/watch?v=iljKbY…

• Software Automation (Mosaic One SDN orchestration)

youtube.com/watch?v=kHhDoS…

youtube.com/watch?v=2S5icF…

Post-ADVA merger, it’s the only pure-play fiber, sync, software vendor worldwide. 🌎

🧵 Why I'm long FMC Corporation $FMC : a contrarian deep-dive into a misunderstood agricultural innovator facing temporary headwinds. 🌾📊 1/ 🌱 Snapshot: $FMC is a global leader in crop protection, offering:

🐜 Insecticides: ~56% (Diamides, e.g., Rynaxypyr®)

🌿 Herbicides: ~30% (Authority®, historically paraquat distribution)

🍄 Fungicides: ~8% (Rapidly expanding via novel active ingredients)

Despite recent market challenges, its fundamental strengths remain overlooked. 📈

🧵 Nuclear is priced in — here's why I exited all my positions in $URNM, $CCJ, and $CEG after years of holding since December 2022:



I was deep in uranium before most investors even knew what an SMR was.

Now that AI hype is shoving weak hands into nuclear tickers ( $OKLO, $SMR, $NNE )…

…I’m out.

Here’s why: 🧵👇

https://x.com/victor_privin/status/1603432510284861440

1️⃣ Let’s start with uranium.

You can’t make uranium in a lab. This isn’t a resource we can manufacture in labs or create in CERN.

Uranium came to Earth from supernovae and kilonovae collisions of neutron stars. It’s rare. And it’s finite.

Kazakhstan holds the bulk—and it’s politically unstable. That's not a "risk." It’s a structural limit.

🧵 Why I bought $RIG: the deepwater comeback story 🌊🛢️
A full breakdown of the bull thesis on Transocean (RIG).

Let’s dive in 👇 1/
The world still runs on oil.

But the big, long-life barrels aren't coming from shale anymore...

They're coming from 🌎 deepwater:
🇧🇷 Brazil
🇬🇾 Guyana
🇺🇸 Gulf of Mexico
🌍 West Africa