Brexit is gutting the UK’s small & medium sized enterprises (SMEs) with many having seen their core European markets vanish overnight as they struggle to contend with increased bureaucracy and costs of trading.
And meanwhile, EU exporters benefit from the UK’s lack of controls.
Some 6.5% of British businesses closed between 2020 and 2021, only the second decline in 20 years and substantively higher than 2017/18’s 0.5% dip,
and while the pandemic had its own impact, majority SMEs blame the handling of the EU departure.
It can only now get worse still.
May 8 • 9 tweets • 2 min read
Again this was never going to be "news". We (ex) Freight Moving industry coalface workers have long tried to explain it all/what would unfold.
UK Gov (out of any SM&CU) is taking GB back to less efficient/slower/less choice/non JiT 1970s model of trading it is *not* equipped for
i.e. a trading model with driver unaccompanied routings/ports with stock holding (bonded) warehousing. Back in 70s diff qualified/recognised HGV drivers would drop loads EU side; GB drivers would drag GB side. Of course there had to be a balance of drivers each side of North Sea
May 8 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
Anywhere in world.
Unless sharing customs (union) territory you can't avoid an international customs border/border force & checkpoints &
Unless sharing (single) market standards territory you can't avoid a proving market standards border/bio security border force & border posts.
UK left both shared territories with the EU27.
It therefore automatically resurrected a customs border with the EU27 (& Turkey) and a proving market standards border with the the EU27 (& EFTA4)
Republicans/NI as a whole did not consent to Brexit: the majority of NI was against it
Apr 30 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
It *is* worrying how little so many understand about trade & borders. Just been asked (again) what's the diff between then & now in that quote 1/ we didn't 'check' our freight coming in from EU before & 2/ why are they making so much fuss about our (GB) products going into EU/NI?
when 'nothing has changed/our products/sausages/plants/pets still the same as when an EU member?
On 1/ All countries (markets) control, police, monitor, have judgement over what (border force) enters their *internal* market & then what moves/circulates within it *internally* !!
Apr 28 • 15 tweets • 3 min read
It is so tiring..but will try again.
If a supplier within a union (say Scotland) sells to another in same union (say Wales) & that union has standards (British standards) why would the supplier not take the piss and send something with shitter/counterfeit standards to that buyer?
Answer: because all union member countries operate under the same legal policing authority and the seller knows if he sends shitter/counterfeit standards to the buyer he will be prosecuted under the same mutually recognised policing authority.
Apr 28 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
James Withers told PoliticsHome the announcement will come as a "another in a long line of slaps to the face" for UK exporters.
"Brexit has brought nothing but cost, complexity and pain for food and drink (etc) businesses trying to sell to our biggest market.
All the while our EU competitors continue to have a completely free ride selling to us. It is just an huge own goal and the promise to control our borders has turned to dust yet again" politicshome.com/news/article/c…
UK is the "Wild West" ..this reputation will spread around the world & compel EU inc into NI/all countries to accordingly control their borders more rigorously against goods (re) emerging from GB not complying with RoO & any hint of its former high standards.
"The UK’s new Goods Vehicle Movement Service (GVMS) continues to be a headache for UK border officials, with concerns mounting that “hundreds, if not thousands” of shipments are bypassing the system’s checks and balances.
Apr 26 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
I wish everyone would use simple logic. Why do countries (normally) conduct trade negs? To increase trade by reducing tariffs & NTBs to trade
UK has done *opposite* with EU27/Turkey by resurrecting (RoO) customs border here & with EU27/EFTA4 by resurrecting standards border here
Not yet fully inbound to continue advantaging EU's exporters over its own (& world's smugglers)
BUT even tho' easier accordingly for EU's exporters they still have greater choice to find *even easier* trade within their still vast customs & regulatory borders free internal market
Apr 21 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
It would be good if @Philmoorhouse76 had a bigger audience on national TV. He beats all pundits there on his understanding of the issues & in his (Yorkshire lad of course) delivery.
I actually made a reply in the video comments here 🤪.
i,e, "Name them. It *would* happen in reverse (on a smaller basis as the smaller market.. It being a return to the inefficient stock holding warehousing model of the 1970s that gave way to the more efficient more choices JIT system
Apr 4 • 6 tweets • 1 min read
Reminder of world's stages in making international trade easier & less costly 1/ Join WTO: all members agree on a max tariff schedule applicable to ea. other 2/ Agree a bilateral FTA: both parties agree to reduce or remove tariffs/quotas,
but which are still subject to int'l RoO
3/ Agree a Customs Union: both/all parties agree to legally remove all tariffs & all declarations/carnets between each member;
giving free circulation of all goods of any quantity/value
with common external tariffs/duties/RoO only applied to non members.
Mar 31 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
So many seem to be supporting the notion that UK Gov reduce its TCA import controls permanently (as opposed to postponing for a 4th time) 1/ This is giving continued advantage to EU's exporters 2/ & the world's smugglers 3/ It can prompt other WTO members to object under MFN rule
4/ This would be then giving unilateral advantage to all of the fellow WTO members' exporters 5/ GB suppliers would need to make/produce to lowest standards now on GB"s market to compete on their domestic market, which would make their exports even harder to achieve
Mar 31 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
The "evil EU"..? In a European Court of Justice ruling in 2011, Condor Ferries was forced to use local regulations rather than rely on flag state rules when paying its seafarers. Condor operates from the French port of St Malo to the Channel Islands and the UK mainland.
The ECJ said: “The crew must be declared in the place of operation where the vessel operates, or the place of residence depending on where the most favourable conditions are.”
Mar 25 • 12 tweets • 3 min read
Just another quick reminder:
UK Gov (Brexit) policy favours 1/ EU (food) suppliers over its own (with unilateral not yet implemented TCA import controls) 2/ EU hauliers over its own (with unilateral extended FoM cabotage in UK) 3/ EU (charter) airlines/pilots over its own
Of course the truth is all above (plus smugglers charter) is because UK can't afford not to favour EU counterparts over its own..
as funnily enough..
UK needs EU more.
Alt. would be even greater self imposed economic sanctions thru further severely throttled (food) supply chains.
Mar 24 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
Again I have to ask why is it apparent shocking "news" (this time from the OBR)
that UK export trade with EU is sinking like a stone?
Can we all agree negotiating to reduce trade barriers increases trade? That the pinnacle of free trade is to negotiate away customs borders & to negotiate away/remove market standards (SPS) borders?
UK has done opposite.
Logic/facts should have always told everybody the rest
Mar 22 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
There are roads that cross in/out of Ireland/NI territory (eg Clones/Cavan road)..
so EU/EFTA tourists could inadvertently end up breaking UK immigration law.
(Their suitcases full of unlimited possessions would be fine though)
I have also long tweeted this...
but if looking to invest in ferries you'd do no better than Stena/Cobelfret (CLdN)..& GB ports providing driver unaccompanied short sea services.
There'll be ever reducing volumes/choice of trade post Brexit freight UK/EU.. but driver accompanied
...will be hit most: becoming a relative trickle through Dover & Holyhead in favour of driver unaccompanied/LoLo ports.
(impacting own vehicle tourist levels downwards too of course:
the many costs of UK resurrecting customs & market standards borders between GB & EU)
Mar 18 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
BBC Newsnight: Suggesting that maybe UK should not have tried to "Go Global" when everybody else now looking to look inwards. Again I give up.
It was always a piss poor stupid idea at the best of times
(which sane country leaves a trade bloc with neighbours hoping to sell/buy more in more distant markets..
where they can buy more readily from *their* closer neighbours?).
What can UK offer that's unique or cheaper to sell in bulk to these markets that more local markets can't?
Mar 18 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Tragic isn't it? Too many preferred not to listen to the coalface experienced on the adverse impacts of leaving the (any) SM/CU regardless of the (any) "Canada Style" deal.
Like a child told not to stick its hand in the fire too many needed to learn by personal experience.
..& here we go again with "Freeports"
Mar 12 • 16 tweets • 3 min read
would you consider Australia/NZ/Canada/"our" Commonwealth/the rest of the bloody world was "punishing" UK for applying their international rules international customs border to us?
Then why consider so when the EU27 (& Turkey) now do when we chose to resurrect this border with them all by leaving a customs (clue in the fucking word) "union" with them?
& after nearly 50 years so with France.
Mar 7 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Even those I thought knew better continue to confuse & conflate the workings/benefits of customs unions & the/a single market Any country/bloc can suspend its own market standards entry rules (eg pet passports/food) if it does it consistently 'without favour' for all WTO members
However other WTO members are most unlikely to object in exceptional (war) circumstances. It would be that member condemned if it did
You permanently remove all these barriers (the only way) by agreeing a single market of standards under mutually recognised common legal oversight