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Webb-site Profile picture
Webb-site
@webbhk
This account tracks https://t.co/Q1wlHrwktu updates
Sep 23, 2022 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Too little, too late: Today's #HK COVID briefing was devoid of any reference to what our competitors are doing. Arrivals will still be welcomed with a PCR test, treated like lepers for 3 days and have to turn up for PCR testing 3 more times on days 2/4/6. 1/5 Prof Lo claims that testing will stop new strains entering, but of course it won't - we'll just know that they've arrived, raising prospect of stricter controls if they're found. As strains will evolve forever, that's an argument for testing forever. 2/5
Feb 10, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
The #HK Govt's Compulsory Testing Notices create huge queues and overwhelm the testing capacity with people who mostly don't feel ill, rather than those who actually need a test. Utter madness, and perhaps a million person-hours of wasted time. 1/2 scmp.com/news/hong-kong… This results in delayed diagnosis and likely further spread of infections by unconfirmed cases. Stop the Compulsory Testing and focus on those who need it! 2/2
Feb 5, 2022 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
The #HK Government has already lost control of this outbreak and "Dynamic Zero-COVID" is history. They just don't know it or won't admit it yet. Here's why (thread):
1. There's a 2-3 day lag between testing & reporting, and a 2-3 day lag between infection & testing. 2. That's a total of about 5 days between infection and reporting.
3. The doubling time in unlinked cases, a proxy for growth in the wild, is around 4 days, so 2^(5/4)=2.38x for the number of cases infected today and reported in 5 days' time.
Sep 29, 2021 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
Legislator Paul Tse asks Govt today about the HK Club's Central site, implying some sort of sweetheart deal, and gets a rather uninformative answer, so let's help him out... info.gov.hk/gia/general/20… The Club purchased the 999-year lease (the normal duration then) on Marine Lot 274, in a Public Auction at 3pm on 20-Feb-1894, with a reserve price of HK$52,800...