Yaneer Bar-Yam @yaneerbaryam@forall.social Profile picture
Complex Systems Physicist | President of @NECSI | Founder @TheWHN https://t.co/YWAkRJ2QWr | Mastodon @yaneerbaryam@forall.social
Ken Tancrous Ⓥ 🌱 moth@ruhr.social Profile picture Κασσάνδρα Παρί پری Profile picture John Miller Profile picture Jodi Smart Profile picture 77 added to My Authors
Nov 24 48 tweets 8 min read
Important!

Share this article with everyone. It is outstanding

I will post excerpts

1/
You May Be Early, but You're Not Wrong: A Covid Reading List, by @JessicaLexicus
open.substack.com/pub/jessicawil… Yesterday, I came across a somber tweet by a man who’s trying to protect his family from Covid. He said, “my wife has been speaking with the principal of my children’s elementary school and that he has been advising her to file for divorce because..my life revolves around fear”2/
Nov 19 11 tweets 2 min read
The Twitter implosion is a chance to rethink information sharing/collaboration. We invite you to join a new mastodon server at forall.social — As usual in mastodon, following to other servers is possible. We look forward to enhancing community efforts.

1/ Image Let me know if you are interested in tutorial meetings to move over. We are setting them up.

2/
Nov 14 7 tweets 3 min read
Update: There appears to be good news on Ebola in Uganda. Yesterday there was one reported case and none in the previous 4 days. There were only 7 cases in the past 13 days. Reported cases have decreased in the past 3 weeks.

I will post the situation report from yesterday. Yesterday's report shows 1 new case, and 4 new recoveries. Either cases grow exponentially or decrease exponentially, so more recovered than new cases is good news for outbreak control. Unfortunately there is also one new death. Total deaths 55 of 139 cases (not all recovered)
2/
Nov 4 4 tweets 1 min read
TV report is truth: "It impairs the immune system, which means that after COVID is done and gone, you are more susceptible to other kinds of infections, and that may well be a bigger problem in children."

1/
h/t @greg_travis
edmonton.ctvnews.ca/more-than-12-0… "So we're seeing a lot of respiratory illness, far more than could be accounted for in any other way.”

"It jolts us back into reality and the reminder that we're still in a pandemic”

2/
Nov 3 7 tweets 2 min read
Consensus statement to recommend specific actions to #endCOVID19 as a global threat to public health

Multidisciplinary panel of 386 academic, health, NGO, government, & other experts from 112 countries/territories.

Article in @nature
Link: go.nature.com/3NtcfCM
1/ In the wake of nearly three years of fragmented global and national responses,.recommendations call for. whole-of-society.approaches, while maintaining proven prevention measures .that employs a range of public health and financial support measures to complement vaccination. 2/
Oct 30 4 tweets 1 min read
New paper: Modeling Complex Systems: A Case Study of Compartmental Models in Epidemiology

"Our purpose is to show how assumptions can constrain model outcomes to a narrow portion of the wide landscape of potential epidemic behaviors.

@AlexSiegenfeld

hindawi.com/journals/compl… "The key to good modeling is understanding which details matter and which do not. Paradoxically,... the impossibility of getting all the details right may discourage a careful analysis of which assumptions are appropriate in which contexts.
Oct 30 7 tweets 2 min read
Advisory for the state of Karnatka, India, that borders on Maharashtra, due to first BQ.1 detected in Maharashtra

Proactive: testing and self-isolation, seeking medical care, masking, outdoor festivals, vaccination,..

1/
hindustantimes.com/cities/bengalu… 1. Get tested immediately if you show symptoms
Residents are instructed to get tested immediately at their nearest hospital or healthcare centre if they show symptoms of fever, cough, cold, sore throat and breathing difficulties.

2/
Oct 25 14 tweets 5 min read
This article in August, 2020 reporting irreversible structural damage to the heart was all that was needed to predict heart attacks and sudden deaths at any time after Covid.

1/
biorxiv.org/content/10.110… This article in July, 2020, reported a high fraction of cardiac damage in covid survivors. There was a lot of debate about exactly what percentage of people suffered. Irrelevant to a predicted consequence of many heart attacks and sudden deaths.

2/
Oct 16 10 tweets 3 min read
My nightmare scenario since 2014—during Ebola outbreak in West Africa when travel was not restricted—is someone throwing up in the subway system of a major metropolitan area

CDC informed us to prepare for Ebola in the US. Honestly not sure what that means Already two quarantined under suspicion of Ebola in Chicago alone. Presumably these were symptomatic upon arrival in the US. The ones who left the airport without symptoms may develop them later.

Oct 16 4 tweets 2 min read
Note: This is a constructive reversal of statements that Uganda would not "lockdown" to stop Ebola. But the main action needed is early identification by daily monitoring. 1/

Uganda introduces lockdown measures to halt spread of Ebola: president msn.com/en-gb/news/wor… Here is a description of the community based door-to-door symptom checking to identify potential cases and isolate them. This is what stopped Ebola in Liberia.
2/

medium.com/complex-system…
Oct 8 23 tweets 3 min read
Strokes, heart attacks, sudden deaths: Does America understand the long-term risks of catching COVID?

1/
fortune.com/2022/10/06/str… "We have plenty still to understand about long COVID, particularly in the vaccinated population, but Al-Aly estimates that 8% to 12% of vaccinated people with breakthrough infections may die due to long COVID.

2/
Oct 6 4 tweets 1 min read
The U.S. will start screening passengers from Uganda for Ebola as the African nation is dealing with an outbreak

The administration says about 145 people per day enter the U.S. from Uganda

nbcnews.com/health/health-… via @nbcnews Note: Incubation period can be up to 3 weeks, so there should be ongoing monitoring for symptoms for 3 weeks.
Sep 27 23 tweets 4 min read
What have we been learning about long covid? The first thing is to answer questions that try to look for reasons it isn’t bad:

- Maybe it is in your mind: No, it is real biological damage.

1/
- Maybe it is rare: No, it affects tens of %s, and even those without symptoms have organ damage and acute events like heart attacks and strokes, as well as cognitive loss.

2/
Sep 23 22 tweets 5 min read
'I'm Dropping My COVID Hubris,' Vows a Top Immunologist

"After the virus harmed Chris Goodnow’s heart, he joined a growing chorus against reinfection complacency.

via @TheTyee thetyee.ca/Analysis/2022/… "Last May a subvariant of the ever-evolving Omicron stunned Chris Goodnow, an internationally renowned immunologist.

"The extremely fit Australian scientist, who hiked, biked and surfed at Sydney’s Manly Beach, had been bolstered by four doses of vaccine.

2/
Sep 22 8 tweets 2 min read
New study: Long term neurologic impacts of COVID

7 per 100 infected individuals!

Strokes
cognition & memory disorders
peripheral nervous system disorders
migraine & seizures
extrapyramidal & movement disorders
mental health disorders
musculoskeletal disorders
...
1/ ...
sensory disorders
Guillain–Barré
encephalitis or encephalopathy

2/
Sep 8 21 tweets 4 min read
Stop Telling Americans That They’re “Tired of Covid”

"Shifting responsibility for the pandemic onto individuals is bad policy—and risks becoming a self-fulfilling prophecy of doom.

1/

thenation.com/article/societ… "Since last winter, the Biden administration’s response to the Covid-19 pandemic—at its best never very inspiring—has continued giving up the ghost.

2/
Aug 22 17 tweets 3 min read
"Think the CDC F–ked up Covid-19? Monkeypox and Polio Aren’t Going Any Better
"The government agency tasked with ensuring our safety isn't up to the job — and they're going to need a full overhaul to tackle three disease outbreaks at once

1/
rollingstone.com/culture/cultur… "IT’S RIGHT THERE in the name: the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is supposed to prevent outbreaks of infectious diseases — or, failing that, control them.

2/
Aug 14 4 tweets 1 min read
If you have, use, or work at a business, service or organization that provides covid safe conditions add it to the directory on covidmeetups.com so that others can benefit from it. There are almost 100 posted already. To add an organization, sign in and click on the account menu on the far right, look for "My directory listings"
Aug 6 6 tweets 1 min read
Report: Poliovirus in sewage in London:

"As part of routine surveillance, it is normal for 1 to 3 ‘vaccine-like’ polioviruses to be detected each year in UK sewage samples but these have always been one-off findings that were not detected again. 1/
gov.uk/government/new… "These previous detections occurred when an individual vaccinated overseas with the live oral polio vaccine (OPV) returned or travelled to the UK and briefly ‘shed’ traces of the vaccine-like poliovirus in their faeces. 2/
Aug 4 4 tweets 1 min read
We are pleased to see the White House take action against the growing threat of Monkeypox and declare the outbreak as a public health emergency. Now is the time for Federal and State governments to instill guidelines and safeguards to protect the American people. 1/ We at the World Health Network declared Monkeypox a pandemic emergency on June 22, and we led the way on recommending public health guidance to stop the spread. We invite the White House to join us in recognizing this outbreak for what it is–a pandemic.2/ wionews.com/world/monkeypo…
Jul 29 4 tweets 2 min read
According to Bloomberg it is "surprising" Monkeypox is spreading among kids.

And watching it "extremely closely" is the World Health Organization.

Do we need "watching"? Watching doesn't solve anything. Antipcation and action solve the problem.

bloomberg.com/news/articles/… We already have over 80 children infected.

The main risk groups for severe illness and death following monkeypox infection are children up to the age of 10, and pregnant or immuno-compromised people.

Alert from WHN
worldhealthnetwork.global/alerts