Let me let you into a secret. I probably shouldn’t because it’ll result in them toning this behaviour down. But, I think the abject lack of self-awareness will not make this happen for some. I’m throwing caution into the wind. Also, nice people don’t gatekeep.

You can tell a lot about the DA is thinking from various accounts. It is 99.9% correct. Also, I suppose I can discern this because I know all these people and their psychology very well.

- Gareth van Onselen is its inclination to assume everyone is stupid. That confidence as competence. That mediocre. That insecure. He gives a lot of insight into where that aspect of its personality is at - the petulant toddler
- Ryan Coetzee is cool, rational and EQ. Measured, smart, cautious, strategic. He’s the adult. He makes the most sense. He is not irksome.
- Leon Schreiber is John’s mind and the latest DA spin on the newest topic on which it has shot its foot.
- John is smart enough not to run his account. Listen to his interviews
- Helen’s actions are so predictable. She's a combination of the other three. Exhibit A. The ANC is stupid.

The coalition agreement between the DA, ANC, and IFP may not meet constitutional muster, I argue. Regardless of whether it has been agreed upon, it is null & void. It contains provisions that skirt too close to the violation of the party/state division.

A thread. 🧵🪡 1. To start, it is an exciting time. Finally, the ANC can be held accountable. Wonderful, but does that process meet constitutional muster? Is the process legal? I am afraid that it is not, in my humble opinion.

STOP posting photos of your kids online. Man arrives at kindergarten, says he’s 3 year old girl’s Dad. Her real parents arrive. At interrogation he reveals that he had found her photo online, needed to have her, found her school, looked for an open day & planned to kidnap her. If you think this will never happen to you, please jolt your system into shock by watching this.

I don’t know what the takeaways from this election are, but so far it’s:

-CR: probably best to resign. The ANC’s performance was dismal. I don’t think he is an awful person. He means well. I like him. But to spare SA what could be months of ANC warfare. When elephants fight… -Zuma: My Lord. 🙆🏾‍♀️ I don’t think democratic South Africa has or will see anytime soon this incisive, masterful & diabolical a strategist. His career ended on a very sour note. Through this MK effort, he has added an epilogue to his story of a Phoenix rising from the ashes.

The final instalment. Only the top 3, I’m afraid, these take a lot of time. 🥲

I don’t think this analysis is interesting, however I hope it will foster deeper understanding about why ANC voters continue to vote ANC.

Election 2024: The ANC and the Politics of Loyalty.

A 🧵🪡 1. We all know the ANC’s dismal record, including the party itself and its voters. The question of why the ANC continues to lead the country despite this knowledge is intriguing. The answer, in a single word: LOYALTY.

Campaign Messaging analysis continues. By popular demand: the Economic Freedom Fighters.

Election 2024: The EFF and the Politics of Anger.

A thread 🧵🪡 1. Preface: I mulled over whether I wanted to do this because I feared it would be misinterpreted and I’d have to spend time explaining. Anger is such a difficult concept to discuss as it relates to black people, given the harmful Angry Black trope.

The DA has spent this entire election hawking fear.

Shall we analyse the campaign messaging of the various parties & the underlying strategy behind each? Let’s.

I’ll start with the one I know best.

Election 2024: The DA and the Politics of Fear. #RescueSA

A thread 🧵🪡

https://twitter.com/sundaytimesza/status/1794434592801259559

1. The "politics of fear" refers to the use of fear by political leaders & parties to influence public perception & voter behavior. This approach often involves emphasising or exaggerating threats, dangers, or crises to gain support and consolidate power.

1. If I may, I am really tired of the willing ignorance and mischaracterization of the role social media plays in South African politics by political "experts." I explained the what and how of social media data around politics y'day. Today is the why.

A thread. 🧵 2. Upfront, I must say that the role SM plays in politics is not determined anecdotally. It is evidence-based, scientific, theoretical work that merges data science, political science, behavioral science, comms strategy & others. It is a growing academic field and profession.

Perhaps it is time to explain this as it relates to South Africa. Do social media posts influence decision-making offline? Does it impact the vote? Very much. A lot. Far more than you think. I've done quite a bit of work around this on various topics. A thread. How could we possibly know what everyone is saying on social media around the election? There are millions of accounts and even more posts. Let's take a step back and establish context. The first question: what portion of the South African population is on social media?

Choosing Change, a Personal Reflection.

A thread🧵🪡

1. The sun has risen, marking a momentous day I have waited for all year. Today, I vote. 2. I do not intend to tell you who you should vote for. I only share the convictions guiding mine. Each vote reflects one's lived experiences, history, and beliefs. Yours is no exception. While we may differ, I champion your autonomy. Your vote is yours and yours alone.

Now @helenzille. You & John have gotten into the habit of posting about me behind blocked accounts because you know you want none of this smoke. You’re dying for it clearly. K. First of all you are a LIAR, that’s besides everything else that wrong with you. I parted ways with YOU That’s the first thing. You wanted to meet with me after to understand because you were so shocked I resigned. You told the media that I agreed to it because you were so desperate not to be the cause of yet another black person resigning.

I dunno, I’m kinda siding with the orcas. A friend of the orca, if you will. The water is their territory. We’re a land species. Plus, their friends have been captured for fun by our species. Eventually every creature gets their revenge. Survival of the fittest, Darwin etc. etc.

https://twitter.com/theatlantic/status/1670238676067012616

Homo sapiens really can’t let other species have their own things. Everything must be ours. We suck royally on water. Poor little weak sods us drown & die. Plus, we’ve still only seen 5% of the ocean. Let’s be shy more when on water, it’s not our strong suit. Leave the orcas be.

Some pedophila statistics, a thread:
- Over 80% victims younger than 18 are female
- The victim knows the perpetrators in 93% of the cases
- 1/3 the perpetrators are the child’s family members
- Males represent 96% of perpetrators 
- Around 500K predators are active online daily - 1 in 10 children are sexually abused
- Almost 70% of all sexual assaults happen to minors
- 73% of child abuse victims don’t tell about the abuse for at least a year
- 20% of abusers have attacked between 10 & 40 children. 
- 30% of perpetrators are the child’s family members

Reddit users don’t play, y’all.

Ransomware group BlackCat, which hacked Reddit’s servers in February, is now threatening to release the data it stole unless Reddit rolls back its planned for payment for access to its API.
flip.it/XEUt7u BlackCat claims to have “interesting confidential data” that allegedly includes information on how Reddit tracks users and censors people. BlackCat does not expect Reddit to cooperate and says that it expects to leak the data.

Voicebox produces speech audio clips in six languages and can perform tasks beyond its training. It replicates voices from 2s audio files but Meta says it won't be released yet due to potential disastrous consequences.

(It must be really f’ing bad, then)
flip.it/1Mtu2L “Meta has unveiled a new AI tool, dubbed ‘Voicebox’, which it claims represents a breakthrough in AI-powered speech generation. according Meta - it’s the first AI model of its kind capable of completing tasks beyond what it was ‘specifically trained to accomplish’.”

Young people, please register to vote. Now I cannot tell you who to vote for, this is a decision you must make for yourself. I relate to the disillusionment with politics, I find myself in the same place. But, vote, I will. Even if it means pinching my nose shut while doing so.

https://twitter.com/iamjoshdylan/status/1669973082906173442

I, like you will have to do, have decided what factors I deem important. I find the space of emerging political parties encouraging. Draw up a list of what matters to you & see if there is a party that fits as many as your requirements as possible. There’ll never be a perfect fit

FrEe SPeeCh aBSoluTisT

“Twitter suspended the accounts of PlainSite & its founder Aaron Greenspan, a prolific Tesla & Musk critic. PlainSite is an online database that makes state & federal court filings & other public records available to users for free” flip.it/S9W52k “Greenspan has meticulously tracked litigation by or against companies mostly in the U.S., including Tesla, Twitter — — as well as competitors GM, Meta and a myriad of others. He and Musk have also been involved in litigation over the years.”

Almost had to contact DIRCO & ask to be evacuated. I got an “IMMEDIATE DANGER” alert on my cellphone with very loud beeping. There were nuclear alarm sounding sirens over the city. Russia had breached the border, thought I. Turns out it’s a test of the new Emergency Alert system. I know it’s only 12 but I need a drink my nerves are shot. 😭 Norway shares a border with Russia. Fun fact: both countries have soldiers trained to fight on snow and ice. They fight on skis.

The most bizarre Twitter criticism: "You just want attention." Well yeah, that's why it's on a public platform, to bring it to public attention. Do you see this as your personal secret diary with your hidden thoughts? Calm down. Moral high ground & SM? An arena for human flaws. You need self-awareness to navigate social media to keep you grounded. I am quite aware & deliberate about my Twitter presence. It differs greatly from other platforms. This is where I share my thoughts about politics & controversial issues & I don't care whether people agree.

Wondered why you found Scandoval so engrossing? This.
“Political discourse has increasingly become a battleground of misinfo. Reality shows like “VDP Rules” act as a mirror to our society, reflecting our collective struggle to untangle fact from fiction.“ flip.it/9dhV0F “Scandoval, brimming with manipulations, deceit and obfuscations — despite omnipresent cameras — mirrors a modern political tension that despite access to more information than ever before, objective truth appears increasingly elusive.”

How to disable location tracking on Facebook & the use of your private data for advertising purposes. A step-by-step guide with screenshots. Go to “Settings” and select “Privacy Shortcuts”