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The Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center and Caribbean Initiative at the @AtlanticCouncil explore Latin America and the Caribbean in a global context.

Jan 22, 2020, 10 tweets

THREAD: @ACLatAm this week releases its report on the outcomes of its Oct. 2019 event with @ForeignPolicy & @fiu_sipa - "PeaceGame #Venezuela: Pathways to Peace" - which convened global leaders in Washington, D.C. to advance thinking... atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-resea…

... around how #Venezuelans and the international community should prepare for the potential of complete state collapse in #Venezuela. PeaceGame Venezuela, a half-day, private, off-the-record simulation included 31 participants from #LatinAmerica... atlanticcouncil.org/event/venezuel…

... and the #Caribbean, Europe, and the United States. Assuming the role of an actor around the #Venezuela crisis, they analyzed how to respond to a hypothetical collapse of the Venezuelan state and the potentially catastrophic scenarios around illicit trafficking...

... armed groups and a public health crisis spreading across the region. PeaceGame #Venezuela participants considered alternative, actionable strategies that could be taken by the international coalition of countries supporting democracy and multilateral organizations...

... as well as how actors such as #Russia, #Cuba and illegal armed groups may respond. The outcomes & recommendations from the simulation are numerous, and are meant to inform real-world strategy. Among others, the findings of PeaceGame Venezuela are: atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-resea…

(1) International stakeholders who support democracy must develop a coordinated and agile action plan now that can prevent, or, if #Venezuela collapse occurs, mitigate the very real regional and global impacts.

(2) Democratic forces in #Venezuela must be strategic in planning how to mitigate the influence of poorly intentioned external actors who could accelerate and take advantage of state collapse.

(3) Communicable disease outbreaks and contagion represent real risks, necessitating preparation and coordination among regional health ministries and experts to contain potential outbreaks.

(4) Island nations are among the most vulnerable to spill-over effects from the crisis, requiring economic, humanitarian and security assistance from multilateral development banks or regional institutions.

These findings and other findings, including key themes discussed by the ambassadors, ministers, current and former military officers and experts from across the region who participated in PeaceGame #Venezuela, can be found here ➡️ atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-resea…

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