Kabir (kabirkhanna.bsky.social) Profile picture
@CBSNews Elections & Data Analytics | @Princeton political science PhD | https://t.co/QJs3qzWvH2

Feb 5, 2020, 11 tweets

We now have 75% of precincts reporting in #IowaCaucuses

@CBSNews Buttigieg still ahead in state delegate race, while Sanders has the edge in caucus goers' final choice (popular vote)

@CBSNews Updated votes-to-SDE ratios using latest #IowaCaucuses data

Biden 54
Buttigieg 60
Klobuchar 63
Sanders 66
Warren 72

Ratios higher than yesterday for each of these candidates, indicating decrease in efficiency (as larger counties report)

@CBSNews Just got a faulty batch of data from Iowa Democratic Party but supposed to get #IowaCaucuses corrected data soon

@CBSNews If you're wondering what the data issue was, it looks like candidates were mistakenly transposed

@CBSNews Okay, let's try this again...

With 86% of precincts reporting, Buttigieg state delegate lead is holding -- he's still over a point ahead of Sanders

#IowaCaucuses

@CBSNews Sanders still has the edge in caucus goers' final choices, but he currently leads by fewer than 1,000 votes #IowaCaucuses

@CBSNews With 97% now in, tiny margin remains between Buttigieg and Sanders in state delegate equivalents... it's just 3 now

Waiting on satellite caucus -- could tip scale

Iowa Democratic Party may have more data issues to review -- campaigns have until Friday to request

#IowaCaucuses

@CBSNews Reminder: though we're waiting on final #IowaCaucuses result, when it comes to *delegates* to the national convention -- what Democratic nominees are vying to earn -- multiple candidates will be on the board in Iowa, and the leading two candidates will likely get a similar number

@CBSNews 100% of #IowaCaucuses results now in according to Iowa Democratic Party

Sanders leads in first and final preference, while Buttigieg still ahead in state delegate equivalents but only by couple

Will continue to go through data and seek clarification from party on SDE allocation

@CBSNews According to latest data, #IowaCaucuses turnout is 176,436 in terms of initial preference and 172,521 in final preference

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