Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #IowaCaucuses

Most recents (24)

1. Sorry #Nevada. You're not getting first in the nation if you can't get your results out in a timely fashion.

I think we should pick a packet of 10 states for primaries every two weeks starting Feb 1, 2024. Ten weeks later it will be over. Maybe do it by region.
2. #IowaCaucuses, #NevadaCaucuses and #NewHampshirePrimary are anachronisms. Vestiges of a time past. And for all the folks who think Bernie will beat Trump, he's tied in Wisconsin. And his Marxist anti-American past hasn't even been dumped out of the KGB files.
3. RealClearPolitics - Wisconsin General Election Polls…

He'll lose Wisconsin, Virginia and Pennsylvania. And the well-meaning #Berners will put a fascist in power for four more years that will be the final chapter of the Republic.
Read 4 tweets
NEW: The Iowa Democratic Party on Sunday allocated delegates based on the results of last week’s #IowaCaucuses, giving Pete Buttigieg the largest delegate count, followed closely by Sen. Sanders.
Iowa Democratic caucus results are not actual votes cast. The percentages received by candidates, based on returns of the estimated number of state convention delegates won by each candidate through the caucus process, are known as state delegate equivalents, or SDEs.
Iowa sends 41 pledged delegates to the Democratic National Convention. The allocation of those delegates is based proportionally on the SDE results.
Read 3 tweets
Live on @MSNBC:

DNC Chairman Tom Perez joins @maddow to discuss his call for the Iowa Democratic Party to "immediately begin a recanvass" after the #IowaCaucuses
"What happened in Iowa was unacceptable."

DNC Chair Tom Perez discusses call to recanvass Iowa Caucus vote.
.@Maddow: "They didn't come out in droves in Iowa"

Tom Perez: "When you look at all of the turnout, the successes, we've had over 3 years, I'm certainly not going to sit here after one caucus and say, 'There's a problem, Houston'"
Read 3 tweets
Thread. 1. Reposting these images now with the title
"Iowa Math is the #NewMath." In my original post I called these #RoundingErrors. But they are not errors. This is exactly the way the Iowa Democratic Party wants the votes to be counted. #IowaCaucus
2. From my post: "Because of the way the math was done at the caucuses, many precincts wound up with an extra delegate that got 'assigned' to one of the candidates at the end of the caucus. We were able to look at worksheets from 18 precincts that were posted on Twitter." #Iowa
3. "We found a strange process where numbers below .5 were being rounded up in multiple precincts. 6 of the precincts (1/3) had the unusual 'rounding up.' Of the 6 precincts with the "rounding up" - 4 were given to Buttigieg, 2 to Biden, and 1 to Warren. #IowaCaucuses #NewMath
Read 18 tweets
Tune. The Fuck. In.

Let me connect some dots for you.
1.) It has been THREE DAYS since the Caucus. There is no precedent for this, aside from Florida in 2000. #iowacaucuses

2.) An app, developed by Consultant Class nobody’s with NO - ZERO - NO credibility in digital security was used for THE FIRST TIME Monday.
3.) Respected tech firms have analyzed the app, and it’s been determined, beyond ANY doubt that the app used in the #iowacaucases could very easily be hacked.

Read 17 tweets
159 people from the Karen, Karenni, Chin, Mon, Shan, and Rakhine refugee communities from Myanmar came to caucus at the Karen Baptist Church in DSM. All 159 caucused for Bernie, winning all 9 county delegates. It was the first vote/caucus for over 95% of them. #iowacaucuses
These people never had the legal status in the state they were born in (Myanmar) and were in refugee camps in Thailand and Burma/Myanmar border for over 15 years. They were not allowed to leave the camps for work, education, or healthcare.
Almost all came knowing little to no English and most work in some of the lowest paying jobs in Iowa, often being exploited by some of the richest employers in the state. The US is the only state they've ever had legal status in.
Read 7 tweets
@nytimes Hey there, spotted a very likely mistake in your data presentation for Polk - Des Moines 14. S.D.E. for Sanders and Warren appears to be switched, based on final alignment numbers. #IowaCaucuses #IowaCaucuses2020
Also confused by this result in Clinton - Eden Camanche Twp. #IowaCaucuses #IowaCaucuses2020
Also interesting data shown for Kossuth GW-SN. #IowaCaucuses #IowaCaucuses2020
Read 17 tweets
They fucking misreported my precinct. Bernie won 2 delegates in Polk County - Des Moines Precinct 14 in Merle Hay and we fought like hell for them. And @iowademocrats put one of our SDEs in Warren's column but correctly reported vote. #IowaCaucusDisaster #iowacaucus #iowa
Here's my tweet night of reporting same and another view of the board in Polk - Des Moines Precinct 14. @nytimes @iowademocrats @DNC FIX THIS. #IowaCaucusDisaster #Iowa #TomPerezResign #MayorCheat #Iowacaucus
Here is the raw misreporting on the failing @iowademocrats's website. That .27 should be a .52 SDE. Instead, they gave it to Warren. They're trying to steal this. #IowaCaucuses #iowa #IowaCaucusDisaster
Read 14 tweets
Hey folks: I wanted to share something @apmresearch just released that I’m very proud of:

Our VOTER PROFILE TOOLS, as part of our broader #RepresentingUS project. (Read: A wealth of data to understand the US electorate in interactive @tableau tools.)…
@APMResearch @tableau 2/
We at @apmresearch released these tools on #IowaCaucus day, but expect that they will be valuable up until the #2020election & beyond—to understand how eligible voters differ—often dramatically—from state to state & in each congressional district.…
@APMResearch @tableau 3/
Already I’ve read numerous #media stories about the #IowaCaucuses & #NewHampshirePrimary saying those states don’t reflect the nation’s #demographics, but the #journalists didn’t include any data as to HOW they differed and to what degree.
Read 22 tweets
WATCH: @SteveKornacki breaks down current results from the #IowaCaucuses, which show Pete Buttigieg leading in delegates, but Sen. Sanders leading in reallocated candidate preference.
@SteveKornacki "This is your clearest indication yet of what people intended to do with one choice in the #IowaCaucuses," @SteveKornacki says in explaining individual initial candidate preference.
@SteveKornacki Iowa Democratic caucuses: Why more than one candidate could declare victory.…
Read 3 tweets
Breve thread su #IowaCaucuses.
1. I risultati, dopo quasi 24h sono PARZIALI e coprono il 60% dei precincts. Dato quanto sono vicini i candidati impossibile dire chi ha vinto
2. Al momento #BernieSanders conduce nei voti al primo turno e anche al secondo (ci torno tra breve)
3. Buttgieg e' invece, per ora, in testa tra i delegati assegnati.
Come mai? Ogni precinct assegna dei delegati. Tanti piccoli collegi. Il problema e' come vengono assegnati i delegati in ogni collegio /
Teoricamente in maniera proporzionale: chi ha piu' voti ne prende di piu'. In realta', in maniera random, perche' non ci sono regole fisse e viene lasciata liberta' ai segretari dei precinct/collegi.
Qualche esempio:
Read 16 tweets
Live coverage now on @MSNBC.
“I apologize deeply for this,” Iowa Democratic Party chairman says of delayed caucus results.
Iowa Democratic Party chairman says 62% of delayed caucus results will be released soon in a "first batch" release; says results are secure, because there is a paper trail for the results.
Read 6 tweets
The #IowaCaucuses are about having a story to tell, not the delegates, and @PeteButtigieg has done the best job of setting his narrative, hands down. Everyone else is playing catch up.
To the app nonsense, Pete paid $ to Shadow in July of last year so his campaign could use it for shadow texting, etc. Biden and Gillibrand also made payments so their campaigns could use the app for shadow texting. Folks leave out pertinent information to make it look bad.
About @PeteButtigieg claiming victory in the #IowaCaucuses last night...
Read 3 tweets
Not to be conspiratorial, but this reminds me of a DDoS attack disruption by overloading digital lines: "The hotlines was flooded w/ some prank calls…They were not ready for the volume"—@CNN @jeffzeleny & @jaketapper discuss #IACaucuses phone reporting problems after app failed.
@CNN @jeffzeleny @jaketapper So, I was right. MAGA trolls disrupted #IowaCaucuses election reporting by flooding the phone lines. Officials should never have publicly posted the number. Folks still don't get we're not in Kansas anymore. Trump is 150% sleazeball. (They're not called 'deplorable' for nothing!)
@CNN @jeffzeleny @jaketapper What's more predictable than Trump trolls disrupting elections, sowing doubt & discrediting Democrats?! Of COURSE they posted #IowaCaucus hotline on 4chan w/directions to "clog the lines." After 2016 we needed govt-wide response to find & close vulnerabilities. But GOP needs them
Read 3 tweets
I’ve spent a lot of time working on government transparency issues, usually in relation to declassification issues. And if I could boil it down to three rules of thumb it’s these: info released should be timely, accurate & meaningful. Applying these principles to #IowaCaucuses ..
...whether results are announced today by 5pm or in a day or two they will still be timely, that is, relevant to the recent caucuses and relevant to the next primary and the campaign season generally...
...they will also be meaningful no matter what, in that the results will contribute to the public debate...
Read 5 tweets
1/ Tech and #IowaCaucuses:

We now have credible reporting out about the app that wrecked Iowa. This was a preventable disaster caused by willful ignorance about development practices.

Bottom line: The Democratic Party funded their friends rather than following best practices.
2/ We don’t ship a CALL OF DUTY game without a network stress test. But, when democracy is on the line, what does the Democratic Party decide to do?

Hastily throw together a mediocre app in under two months. Have no real user testing, have no real training and jope for the best.
3/ If this was 1990, MAYBE you’d give them a pass.

But we’ve had best practices to ship this kind of software for TWENTY YEARS NOW.

An indie iPhone game undergoes more user testing than this app did. It’s beyond indefensible, and people need to lose their jobs over this.
Read 6 tweets
A Democratic tech firm called Shadow created the Iowa caucus app that failed to deliver quick results Monday night.

You're right! Is this her latest election rigging attempt? If this leads to a brokered convention can the DNC then input any primary candidate of their choosing at the least minute, even if their selected candidate is not registered to run today?

Is this why Pete Buttigieg is claiming victory from last night Iowa debacle?

Read 13 tweets
Last September, I called Tara McGowan "The Democrats' Most Dangerous Digital Strategist." I did so because I thought her non-profit tech model could upend politics as we know it.

I was right. Only, not in the way I expected.… @ozy (thread)
For those who don't already know, @taraemcg is the founder of ACRONYM. The progressive nonprofit funnels donor contributions to progressive causes and for-profit companies — one of which is Shadow, which created the app that seemingly shut down the #IowaCaucuses last night.
ACRONYM was trying to fix a digital campaign space that often advises clients to use tactics that they can profit off of, rather than tactics that actually help candidates win.
Read 8 tweets
1/2 Big #iacaucuses results are in: 41% of caucus-goers (a plurality by a mile) said #healthcare is their top motivator.

#iacaucuses2020 #IowaCaucus
2/2 Rx prices, pre-existing conditions, and premiums/copays/deductibles are driving people of all kinds to get involved. Meanwhile, @realDonaldTrump is sabotaging healthcare at level.…
Read 3 tweets
THREAD about last night's #IowaCaucuses:

1. Bernie is the national frontrunner and there is no reason for this debacle to slow him down.

2. Our campaign expands when it focusses on the issues that matter most to people and harnesses the loving power of #NotMeUs.
3. Yes, what happened was unfair to Bernie but it was unfair to other candidates who had a good night as well. Nobody likes a victim so DO NOT let that become the mood of this campaign.

4. Also: don’t say the DNC "flushed people's work in Iowa down the toilet" (con't)
If we honestly believe we are building a movement, not just an electoral campaign, then the relationships we forge, and the political education we do along the way, is never wasted. It’s all part of building power, which we badly need no matter what happens. Nothing is wasted.
Read 8 tweets
Não tem como haver manipulação porque, por mais confusa que seja, a caucus é um processo aberto. Não há votos diretos. Em cada local de “votação”, circulam dezenas de supervisores e representantes de cada campanha. #IowaCaucuses
Ao mesmo tempo, embora eu não apoie teorias da conspiração e desinformação, eu entendo a frustração dos eleitores do Bernie Sanders. Por incompetência ou cinismo, o partido tem feito de tudo para que se questione a imparcialidade do processo. #IowaCaucuses
O único vencedor disso tudo: @realDonaldTrump
Read 3 tweets
Instead of organising politics via electoral machines partially enmeshed with the state, which select candidates via a variety of archaic means clearly open to manipulation and error, why not just have actual political parties with candidates elected by the members? #IowaCaucuses
It’s become part of the orthodoxy of what one might call liberal anti-politics that formally organised parties, with membership/affiliate structures that determine policy and select candidates, are somehow an impediment to democracy. In fact, they’re essential to it.
The fact that most major political parties are undemocratic, and usually enmeshed with the state to varying degrees, is a symptom of them functioning *too little* like actual parties (centrally organised collectives attempting to win hegemony for a set of ideas), not too much.
Read 3 tweets
i once worked @ a dead startup that offered "advanced analytics" for competing biz. i'd bet we played the same game as @ShadowIncHQ & #IowaCaucuses.

if they offer "real data insights" and can't code for shit? it's almost certainly the case.

here's how the grift works! 1/?
1) build a service that SUCKS IN data. in our case, it was website analytics, in an industry where yours and your competition's websites all look the same. elections? two vectors: INTERNAL (official election staff) and EXTERNAL (campaign private access)

2) make customers need you! we had desperate sales chuds begging us to help them pad their quarterly performance. in an election? what candidate is not desperate to win? captive audience with a simple ultimatum: feed us data and we can help you win.

Read 35 tweets

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