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exador23 Profile picture
exador23
@exador23
esoteric thinker, egg chair philosopher, permaculture advocate, pattern literate human being. The clock is ticking for all life on this planet. we need change.

Feb 23, 2020, 5 tweets

#electability

This poll had a sample size of 10k. The largest I've ever seen. MorningConsult will occasionally hit 7-8k

"But National polls are worthless because of the electoral college. handwave handwave. Clinton. OMG we're all going to die"

The only modern examples of popular vote vs electoral college contradictions are Al Gore with 0.5% margin and HRClinton with 2% margin.

So to be safe, let's turn that +3% Sanders margin into a +5% margin instead of spreading weak fear mongering like Russian Meddling or OMG Socialism or All His Supporters Are Assholes or unfounded age & health concerns.

And look at battleground states, like the one Clinton lost in 2016 maybe ...

Avg across those three states:

Sanders + 3.7
Biden +2.3
Warren +1.7
Buttigieg +2.6
Klobuchar +1.3

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