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exador23 Profile picture
exador23
@exador23
esoteric thinker, egg chair philosopher, permaculture advocate, pattern literate human being. The clock is ticking for all life on this planet. we need change.
Sep 20, 2020 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
Dropping "% Contained" as a metric media and fire agencies use is long overdue. The public doesn't understand it and never will. Because it's a % people think it refers to the likelihood that a fire will spread instead of just being ratio of hose line secured edge to perimeter. Even if the fire this couple died in really was at 51% containment, if those lines were on the opposite side of the fire from them, it would be meaningless for their safety.
Apr 26, 2020 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
I'm going to have to stop following this fool. He might understand statistics but doesn't understand disease, epidemics or testing.

unchecked the number infected doubles every 3 days. due to lack of testing we have to have criteria for those tests. i.e. only people w symptoms.. Let's assume only 50% of those infected get symptoms. insufficient testing means the case counts are wrong, but if you keep the criteria for testing consistent, the trend will be accurate. The trend is the important metric. It tells you whether actions are working or not.
Apr 14, 2020 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Covid is helpful in understanding the time-shifted mechanisms of the #ClimateEmergency. We are currently in the "Still allowing Spring Break and Mardi Gras to happen" phase, with full knowledge that those actions are LOCKING IN the effects down the road. The window for effective action on the #ClimateEmergency closes in less than 12 years. Actions taken after the death toll becomes shocking are actions taken far too late. Astronomical death tolls are already locked in by then.
Mar 5, 2020 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
I wish people would get it. We have less than 12 YEARS to take BOLD action on the #ClimateEmergency. Once the permafrost really goes, the earth will emit more greenhouse gasses than humans do currently. NOTHING we do at that point can stop the inevitable. Biden doesn't do enough. IF he wins in Nov, we're stuck with him in 2024 too. And he'll lose the Congress & the states like Obama did. So by the time someone who supports real climate action can be elected, they can't pass anything in a deeply red congress.
Feb 23, 2020 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
#electability

This poll had a sample size of 10k. The largest I've ever seen. MorningConsult will occasionally hit 7-8k "But National polls are worthless because of the electoral college. handwave handwave. Clinton. OMG we're all going to die"

The only modern examples of popular vote vs electoral college contradictions are Al Gore with 0.5% margin and HRClinton with 2% margin.
Nov 22, 2019 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
Kudos to Buttigieg for bringing up the key role #RegenerativeAgriculture must play in any plan to mitigate the #ClimateCrisis during the #DemDebate. Bonus for recognizing the need to shift the climate issue towards inclusion of farmers & rural areas instead of pushing them away Image One of the best ways to turn farming communities against any #ClimateEmergency plan is by harping on meat consumption. I remember when Iowans started burning Beatles records because Paul McCartney said he was a vegetarian.
Oct 10, 2018 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
IPCC Climate Change report fueling new misguided calls to stop eating meat.

FACT: if 5% of CA rangeland (used for meat production)
were covered in 1/4" of compost (from meat production)
it would offset the carbon emissions of the entire California Ag Sector (meat plus LOTS more) It's not @ what you eat, it's @ destructive agricultural practices. we've lost >1/2 the carbon in our soils. most thru veggie farming. stop tilling. stop removing biomass. stop using fossil fuel fertilizers, insecticides, & herbicides. this can't be solved w/o soil regeneration.
Sep 19, 2018 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
This is UNACCEPTABLE and racist. Pine Ridge reservation has long been THE poorest community in the U.S. Residents cannot afford insurance. 500 homes were damaged or destroyed. We cannot turn our backs on the only people who are NOT immigrants here. They have been reduced to crowdfunding for the most BASIC of human needs. "...linens, beds, clothing, toiletries and cleaning products." friendsofpineridgereservation.org/a-storm-damage…
Sep 15, 2018 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
OMG. The USGS Stream Sensor at #NewRiver near #GumBranch above #JacksonvilleNC is already at 19.5 feet and rising FAST. Flood stage is 14ft and the record is 25ft. #Florence Image #NewRiver above #JacksonvilleNC has risen .4ft in the last 15minutes to 19.9ft. That's 1.6ft/hr. If that keeps up it will blow past the it's all-time record for flooding in just over 3hrs from now.
Jul 7, 2018 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
wherein The New Republic suddenly discovers the "Green New Deal" that's been the backbone of the #greenparty platform and pushed for by progressives of all stripes for a decade. Then paints one person as a celebrity savior. champion @Ocasio2018 is a wonderful spokeswoman, but nothing will change unless we pack congress with Green New Deal advocates. In #CA34 that means voting for Kenneth Mejia @25forcongress. If you're not in our district you can still volunteer or donate...
Dec 19, 2017 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Love your coverage @highcountrynews. Could you assign someone to investigate current burn ops in Los Padres Forest. It smells of a prescribed burn done under the cover & cost of #ThomasFire, skirting normal approval & planning for controlled burns. 4 miles N of perimeter. Image @highcountrynews ... about 12 miles away from yesterday's active front of the fire which is now out enough to not show up on MODIS, and 20 miles away from today's last active front of the actual "wild"fire.
Apr 26, 2017 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
Path to healthcare for all victory:
1. #SB562 approved by CA Senate Health Committee today @ 1:30p
u can watch: senate.ca.gov/calendar 2. Get #SB562 through the CA Appropriations Committee
3. lobby CA Senators to pass it
4. lobby CA House to pass it
5. lobby Gove to sign it.
Apr 25, 2017 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
These are the #CA senators to call TODAY for #SB562 before tomorrow's #medicare4all vote in the Health Committee: ... Senator Janet Nguyen - (916) 651-4034
Senator Richard Roth - (916) 651-4031
Senator Josh Newman - (916) 651-4029
Urge YES on #SB562
Jan 30, 2017 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
fantasizing that the resistance could come up with an actionable list of demands widely agreed upon. then demand congress act on a certain % of them, and publicly commit to another %age by a date later this year.
Mar 16, 2016 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
I'm pissed at you #OhioPrimary. Dem turnout dropped by 1 million. GOP turnout jumped by 1 million. You won a single battle against Trump... ...but lost the whole damn war as a result. Sanders wins a general. Clinton is iffy at best. Pres Clinton hands the White House and...
Mar 14, 2016 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Did @NateSilver538 & crew even bother to look at raw polls? top 3 IL poll weights all deeply flawed. Sanders w/ better chance in IL than OH? I'm rooting for Sanders. but 3% Clinton lead in top weight poll is all voters. open primary, but she leads Dems only by 22pts, not 3pts.
Feb 23, 2016 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
As bad as GOP voterID laws are, they don't compare w the ongoing War on Drugs, or for-profit prison pipeline in terms of disenfranchisment we're talking thousands vs. ~hundreds~ of thousands of POC being ~permanently~ removed from voting rolls. the Dems own a lot of that.
Feb 22, 2016 • 6 tweets • 1 min read
Meanwhile... A Bernie Sanders nomination clinches the youth turnout along with other sidelined progressives currently supporting Jill Stein. He may lose some of the POC turnout, but not much once Clinton stops smearing his support of Obama. (he does need a better tone with them)
Feb 22, 2016 • 7 tweets • 1 min read
Here's Reality. and why #ImWithHer should #FeelTheBern: Clinton is reviled by the GOP & Independents as demonstrated in polls... A Clinton nomination loses many Millennials, who favor Sanders by a 70 point spread. Obama only had them by 40 points...
Feb 16, 2016 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
If you think losing the bees would be bad, consider the microbes in our soil. Stop overgrazing. theconversation.com/if-the-worlds-…?
#Oregonstandoff Biochar will fix this, improve water & nutrient retention, make ranges more fertile, AND store carbon stably for centuries. #Oregonstandoff
Feb 15, 2016 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Remember: John Adams, who friggin' ~invented~ the separation of powers concept in the #Constitution, nominated a Supreme with 43 days left. Jefferson (opposing party) had already been elected. Adams also appointed 42 lower justices with 2 days left, but the paperwork wasn't right