#SouthCarolinaPrimary
Got some exit poll data to work with finally. Lets break it down.
washingtonpost.com/graphics/polit…
Okay so clearly Joe Biden is going into a good night, but how good will it be? If he can crack a +20 margin on his win over Sanders hes in very good terrain.
Based on exit polls he won 60% of the the black vote, Sanders only won 17%. Steyer also picked up 14%
Now this is very interesting because Sanders' Achilles heel has always been support under black voters. He got absolutely smashed in 2016 by Clinton, he only took 14% of the vote. This year, after investing in black voters he only picks up 17%. Yes crowded field but not good.
Sheeesh support for the other three terrible. 3% Buttigieg, 5% Warren, 1% Klobuchar. Thats not good
Only cohort that Sanders carries is 17-29 year old, thats only 11% of the vote tho. Biden beats Sanders with Independents too 29-25. Sanders wins voters that are not religious 17%
Worth pointing out that in every election except for 2004, whoever won the democratic primary in South Carolina ended up being the nominee!
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