Thread by @deepakvenkatesh

1/n Short thread on some numbers of affected people due to #COVID19

I have also collated the same in a PDF attached here:
bit.ly/2TQpbZ7

Source: worldometers

2/n China’s total number of cases on the logarithmic scale has reached an asymptote. Only other country which seems to be reaching such a limit is South Korea.

3/n South Korea

4/n Italy seems just to be at the start of the growth phase on the curve. It has even been adding a record number of cases daily. Note the data for 14 March in new cases is a staggering ~3500 which is 900+ more than yesterday's.

5/n Daily number of additions

6/n Other countries seem to be just getting started on their growth curves unfortunately. Including Iran, Spain, Germany, France & the USA.

7/n Spain

8/n Germany

9/n France

10/ USA

11/n Death Rates and Recovery Rates are outlined below. Any positive case will terminate into either recovery or death at the asymptote is the assumption.

12/n Date is broken into blocks of countries with greater than 1000 total cases, less than 1000 and up to 100 and third category of countries are those which have below 100 cases. Note India has 97 cases as of now.

13/n Note the world average for death rate is 3.72% and recovery rate is 47.60%.

All countries are ordered with descending total number of cases.

14/n Block 1: Countries with 1000 or more cases

15/n Block 2: From 100 to less than 1000 cases

16/n Block 3 less: than 100 cases

17/n Data Source: Worldometers
Disclosure: This is analysis basis some data points as reported on Worldometers.info. Please interpret as you like.

18/n

The PDF is available here:
bit.ly/2TQpbZ7