Cynthia Mulligan Profile picture
Journalist, political nerd, CityNews, Toronto. Got a story? Email me at cynthia.mulligan@citynews.rogers.com

Apr 20, 2020, 10 tweets

BREAKING:Ontario's new #Covid19 modelling projections show province has appeared to have peaked early. Total cases now likely less than 20-thousand, far lower than worst case scenario of 300-K or expected cases at 80K. Community spread under control, Long term care big issue.

Modelling report states people still need to stay home and practice social distancing. #covid19

#Covid19 modelling report: social distancing, washing hands is working. Shows Ontario and Canadian curve is sloping and starting to flatten.

Provincial health experts are now starting to look at how to bring back the health care system, thousands of surgeries have been cancelled, a panel is examining how to resume them. #covid19

Associate Medical officer of health Barbara Yaffe says the peak is a moment of time, it can last a bit. Emergency measures will still be in place. #covid19

Next phase of testing strategy will begin in Long term care homes, as well as shelters, group homes. #covid19

"these actions are making a big difference you need to stay home and save lives. " Dr. Barbara Yaffe #covid19

Dr Yaffe asked when will be able to go back to normal life - she says no one knows, it will be very gradual and every impact will have to be measured. We have to give it time she says and people have to stay the course. #covid19

Dr Brown says province doesn't know how many unknown cases there are that have not developed symptoms-some studies show could be 50%of cases are a-symptomatic, others show up to 90%. Dr Yaffe says hopes one day to do random samples to give better idea of how many infected #covi19

First time I have heard this confirmed: People in low income neighbourhoods are at much higher risk of #covid19.

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