Nicola Borri Profile picture
empirical asset pricing | quantitative finance | fintech @ Luiss University (Rome) https://t.co/wGCDGCW0Gc

May 23, 2020, 8 tweets

My #COVIDー19 update for #Italy two weeks after relaxation #lockdown [thread]

1/ Deaths: 119 deaths today, more than 32K since the beginning of the pandemic according to official estimates. But rate is slowly but constantly approaching zero.

2/ 669 new cases today. Combining this number with deaths and recoveries, the total number of active cases today drops by 1570 units and is currently around 57K. Also the rate of new cases is on stable downward path.

3/ Testing: in last weeks we have been running about 75K tests/day, excluding weekends when tests 50% lower. Note that number of test different from number of people tested, as people typically tested more than once. Positive-to-test ratio approaching zero. This is a good news.

4/ Hospital situation: number of patients in ICU has dropped from the peak around 4K to less than 1K. Every day this number continues to decrease. Also patients with less severe symptoms and in quarantine at home are less and less.

5/ Regional analysis: most of the new cases in two regions. Lombardia (350 new cases a day in the last three days) and Piemonte (84 new cases a day in the last three days). Regions in the south have close to zero new cases in last days.

6/ Note that also in terms of evolution of current cases, situation in Lombardia is not improving as fast as in other parts of the country.

Overall, for the moment the situation does not raise alarms. Hopefully it will only further improve. Next week we will have more data to track the evolution. In the meantime, wearing a mask out probably is a good idea, to protect you and the people around you.

Share this Scrolly Tale with your friends.

A Scrolly Tale is a new way to read Twitter threads with a more visually immersive experience.
Discover more beautiful Scrolly Tales like this.

Keep scrolling