Rijo M. John Profile picture
PhD | Economist | Prof. @rajagiri.edu | Consultant to @WHO @WorldBank @TobaccoFreeKids @EconForHealth | Former faculty @iitjodhpur

Jun 3, 2020, 6 tweets

Thread: A closer look at 4 high burden states in past 2 weeks: MH TN DL & GJ together contributing 66% of cases:

Maharashtra:
Test +ve rate steadily increasing, yet daily tests decreased & you see cases falling! That ain't flattening #COVID19 @CMOMaharashtra

Tamil Nadu:
A steady increase in test +ve rate indicative of state losing the grip on the situation. Daily cases steadily increasing, but more tests are sure to bring out much higher number of cases @CMOTamilNadu

Delhi:
Significant increase in test +ve rate over past 2 weeks suggestive of @COVID19 being ahead of state's efforts to contain it. Instead of increasing testing, the state seems to have decreased it & yet, the cases increasing. This is quite an alarming situation. @CMODelhi

Gujarat:
I don't understand the magic of keeping daily cases so steady over the past 2+ weeks (be it low testing or high testing)! If it's for real, well & good. Slow increase in test +ve rate & low level of testing (3400/PM) are not good signs though. @CMOGuj

Bottom line: Several states in India need to increase testing significantly & be able to isolate +ve cases efficiently! Wishing away the pandemic with low testing is not going to limit its spread! Our health infra isn't adequate to cope with a pandemic that goes out of control.

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