Rijo M. John Profile picture
PhD | Economist | Prof. @rajagiri.edu | Guest faculty @IIMKozhikode | Consultant to @WHO @WorldBank @TobaccoFreeKids @Tobacconomics | Former faculty @iitjodhpur

Aug 7, 2020, 6 tweets

👉6 Aug: India crossed 2M reported #COVID19 cases & 41638 deaths.
👉The last 1M cases came in 21 days compared to 168 days for first 1M. ▶️Next 1M expected in 14 days.
👉India did 22.7M tests (TPR 8.8%).
👉Thread shows important trends national, state & district level. (1/6)

The 7-day avg. daily growth of cases now at 2.9%. At this rate, the next 1M should take only ~14 days (i.e., ~20 Aug.) Growth of cases is now more in NE states, JH, AP, & A&N islands. The daily test positive rate now at 8.8% but very high in MH, KA, AP, MZ & NL. (2/6)

India reported the highest daily number of cases y'day at 62170 new cases and 899 deaths. A&N Islands & Nagaland leads in the rate of growth of cases while MH & AP continues to report the highest number of daily cases. MH continues to clock the highest @COVID19 casualties.(3/6)

While some of the big burden states seem to have either reduced the daily new cases or plateaued, at least for now, there are others who see daily new highs. 33 States/UTs now have at least a 1000+ #COVID19 cases. (4/6)

Trends in test positive rate & daily tests per million for states with at least 20K reported cases. Watch out for those states reducing or keeping daily TPM steady despite an increase in TPR. (5/6)

Top 50 districts in India for the total reported number of #COVID19 cases. While some have clearly flattened it, at least for now, the virus is clearly spreading far and wide. (6/6)

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