Kawasaki_KR-1 Profile picture
A member of Vector Class. https://t.co/4SxltjNBqH

Sep 5, 2020, 6 tweets

This week's installment of Japanese Tesla listings/sales. #Tesla #CYAZ #テスラ #モデル3

TL;DR: Q3 delivery has started.

S/X/3 summary.

No major mov't on inventory or sales.

Q3 delivery of Model 3 has started this wk, the first since Feb. The leftover from Nov/Dec orders first, apparently. Some who ordered in July are getting delivery dates in late Sept, so apparently the entire backlog from Nov '19 ~ July '20 will be cleared.

How's the mix?

Roughly equal mix of 3 trims.

My estimate for Q3 is unchanged; ~500 Model 3 + ~100 S/X.

Assuming they clear the backlog, I'm expecting 3~400 total in Q4, then steady decline until Why.

In other words, the importance of JPN as a market for Tesla will likely decline further. Didn't think that was possible for the 3rd largest auto mrkt in the world.

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