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Sep 15, 2020, 5 tweets

I was not keen on embarking on another diagram marathon...

9 months not having to draw a serious diagram have been joyous...

But when Brexit gets rough, there's no option by to make a #BrexitDiagram - so here's Series 5, V1.0.0

"Trade Deal or No Deal by the end of 2020?"

Background for the new Series 5 is on my blog here:
jonworth.eu/brexitdiagram-…

High res PNG and PDF files, the draw(dot)io XML, and the XLS for the workings will always be uploaded here:
jonworth.eu/series5

As ever, input is very welcome - by all means tell me what I get wrong with these diagrams, but saying "you're wrong" doesn't help me very much - please tell me what route or what probability is wrong

Also feel free to share these diagrams, or use the data to make your own

The emphasis in this V1.0.0 is to assess the implications of the Internal Market Bill 2nd Reading on the state of play

The interesting thing to think about more is if Johnson's plans suffer in the Lords, what will he then do? Can he really just negotiate as if nothing happened?

The headline figures:
58% - UK heading for No Deal
36% - Deal still a possibility, but 🐟 & State Aid still need to be solved
6% - Crisis breaks out in Tory Party

/ends

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