Ali 🖤🕊 Profile picture
finding patterns in news. distributed systems. machine learning. music. Bible. not in this order. English and فارسی

Sep 22, 2020, 14 tweets

Day 206 and 207 - #COVID19 in Iran

3rd wave's brief update

Picking up from two days ago

About me:

And my methods:

[Current Outlook]
The scale and spread of this 3rd wave is horrific, because of the synchronicity caused by Ashura ceremonies. Stress signals from hospitals around the country running out of beds, ERs overflowing with COVID, staff going offsick... total mayhem.

Metrics that I normally follow all are approaching all time highs. Patients currently admitted in Qom (1.2M) reached 715 from 630 in a matter of two days. Not from its all time high at around 900.

Another metric is number of patients in critical care which is not at 3922, little away from 4150 - its all time high.

I normally ignore official figures but for what it is worth, today we broke the number of identified cases with ~3700 new PCR confirmed cases.

The hospitals overflowing now and they cannot take more patients. And in times like this, we get rows and occasionally altercation in hospitals... people are desperate.

This is in Yasuj, Kohgiluyeh:

In my previous thread I covered 3rd wave In Khuzestan (4.7M). Due to high number of infected students, a special committee has been set up in this province [to investigate and find solutions].

Unfortunately number of daily admissions in Tehran (another key metric) has not been announced for a few days now but it has been reported such cases have doubled in Tehran (9M) and Qom.

Due to COVID worries, attendance in the schools are now down to just 10%!

Anecdotal report from a psychiatrist:

"When I arrived in the hospital today, there were almost no nurse or health-care assistant left. Many staff are now positive and in quarantine. Wards are now managed with minimum staff."

There are reports that due to explosion of COVID cases and shortage of hospital beds, officials have asked [designated] hospitals to avoid admitting non-COVID patients.

In addition to COVID, we had some heavy flooding in the north which in terms of severity was high but luckily it was limited to a single area: Taalesh in Gilan.

Here is a pedestrian bridge collapsing [thankfully no casualties reported]:

And leaving you with this tonight:

Flood waters in Taalesh have dangerously emptied the ground underneath this park with gaping holes engulfing the pavement. Locals watching with a mixture of shock and amusement.

Good night and stay safe

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