Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Epidemiologist & health economist. Whistleblower. Faculty @NECSI. Fmr 16 years @Harvard. Early warnings: https://t.co/eNp7gjyhC0

Nov 13, 2020, 15 tweets

📍DON’T CHASE SWEDISH HERD STRATEGY. As many know, 🇸🇪 took the careless “herd” strategy in spring to let the coronavirus run rampant. Huge #COVID19 deaths compared to its Nordic neighbors. But Swedish leaders claim they built herd & will win in 2nd wave. Here is how it’s going:

2) Swedish model... for all the deaths that Sweden 🇸🇪 suffered, was it even worth the improved economic benefit as proponents touted? Was 8-10x the #Covid19 total deaths worth it?

Answer: No & No.

Lesson: Don’t chase herd immunity without vaccine.

3) 25 leading Swedish scientists:

➡️”🇸🇪 hoped herd immunity would curb #COVID19. Don't do what we did.”

➡️ “🇸🇪 approach to COVID has led to death, grief and suffering. The only example we're setting is how not to deal with a deadly infectious disease” amp.usatoday.com/amp/5472100002

4) And for those claiming nobody saying “Swedish herd” approach, there are literally THOUSANDS of articles online about people citing Sweden and herd. “Likely involves more than a million deaths; "That cannot be our price" medpagetoday.com/infectiousdise…

5) 21 Swedish experts denounced “herd” policy: “The strategy has led to death, grief, & suffering—no indications that the Swedish economy has fared better. We have set an example for world on how not to deal with a deadly infectious disease.” #COVID19 fortune.com/2020/07/27/her…

6) but who is pushing the insane herd approach in US? Trump’s pandemic advisor Scott Atlas of course. nymag.com/intelligencer/…

7) Here is Atlas who keeps doubling down on the crazy - “goal is not to stop all spread” nonsense.

Trump’s WH pandemic advisor #ScottAtlas keeps doubling down on “herd immunity” plow through approach without vaccine.

8) the original post figure by @WKugelberg. Here is his Swedish language version. Well done.

9) For those still clamoring about “but but but what about deaths???” Good question. Here is Swedish #COVID19 deaths versus Scandinavian neighbors per capita. Hmmmm... Sweden 🇸🇪 death rate is 5x Denmark and 10x Finland and Norway. So dangerous.

10) But but but what about current #COVID19 daily incidence - is it going up slower in Sweden? Nope nope nope!!!! Much worse than Nordic neighbors (most similar in economic and social systems).

11) The every sharp @spignal points out the well known Swedish mortality reporting delay issue. Deaths are reported retroactively after a delay. Thus their recent death reports are always undercounts. Sweden #COVID19 mortality is currently going up.

12) on Trump advisor Scott Atlas is pushing herd immunity to combat #COVID19 pandemic—I flat out told @mehdirhasan it’s a “sociopathic approach” on the @MehdiHasanShow.

13) Crazy insane🔥—look how many places in Georgia are on worst city/county list for total #COVID19 deaths of *residents*:

Dodge—1 in 490 dead
Ware—1 in 489
Monroe—1 in 476
Mitchell—1 in 460
Laurens—1 in 457
Dougherty—1 in 444
Toombs—1 in 432
Sumter—1 in 420
Upson GA—1 in 341

14) Sweden today. Not going well.

15) EXCESS MORTALITY for Sweden 🇸🇪 versus prior years and comparison with its Nordic neighbors. Guess herd approach didn’t work out so well.

(Figure by my FAS team. HT to @euromaestro) #COVID19

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