Trevor Tombe Profile picture
Professor @EconCalgary | Fellow @policy_school | Alum @econuoft @SFUBeedie | @thehubcanada Contributor | Inflation, govt finances, R, and more! | 💻 📊 📝 🍻

Apr 9, 2021, 10 tweets

Today's COVID vaccination update:

- Total shots given: 7,569,321
- Shots per 100 people: 19.9
- Shots reported today: 316,761 (new record!)
- Inventory: 13.8 days (at avg pace)

Source: covid19tracker.ca/vaccinationtra…

Canada is now up to 7.6 million shots given -- which is 71.8% of the total 10.5M doses available. Over the past 7 days, 2,718,570 doses have been delivered to provinces.

And so far 780k are fully vaccinated with two shots.

Canada's pace of vaccination:

Today's 316,761 doses today compares to an average of 216,033/day over the past week and 179,451/day the week prior.

- Pace req'd for 2 doses to 75% of Canadians by Sept 30, 2021: 284,153
- At current avg pace, we reach 75% by Nov 2021

But based on just the share of people with 1 or more doses (a weaker threshold), at Canada's current pace we reach 25% by April, 50% by June, and 75% by July 2021.

For context, at Canada's current pace of vaccination the share of people with 1 or more doses increases by 0.54% per day. The U.S. increases this share by 0.54% per day. For Canada to reach the current U.S. share would take 31 days.

Turning to individual provinces, here's doses administered over time and the latest share of deliveries used. YT leading with 77.2% of delivered doses administered while NS has administered 52.2%.

To visualize the pace of vaccination across provs, here's time to reach 75% of adults w/ 1+ doses based on the latest 7-day average daily pace.

- NL fastest at 52 days.
- NS slowest at 137 days.

How does Canada compare to others? Currently, Canada ranks 7th out of 37 OECD countries in terms of the share of the population that is at least partially vaccinated. In terms of total doses per 100, Canada is 17th.

Source: ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinat…

Canada/US comparison:

- Highest Prov: QC, 20.5% of pop w/ at least one dose
- Lowest Prov: NS, 11.0
- Highest State: NH, 43.2
- Lowest State: AL, 25.1

- Top CDN Terr: YT, 57.9
- Top US Terr: PW, 45.4

Sources: covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra… and covid19tracker.ca/vaccinationtra…

Not only is Canada's average daily pace of increasing vaccine coverage now equal to the U.S., our average pace of delivering doses is 4th in the OECD. Great improvement recently, fantastic to see! 💉💉

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