Kit Yates Profile picture
Math Biologist. Author. Books - "Math(s) of Life and Death" Order "How to Expect the Unexpected" now - https://t.co/weTwI4ypM0

Jun 11, 2021, 6 tweets

A thread on cases and positivity rates in the UK.
Firstly, cases are going up almost as quickly as in September - Doubling every 9 days. We're nowhere near where we were at the peak in Jan, but be under no illusion, cases are rising quickly.
1/10

Scotland's cases (per 100k) are currently rising fastest, reflecting the fact they seem to have been impacted by the delta variant earlier on.
Next fastest it England and then Wales.
In Northern Ireland cases still seem to be coming down.
2/10

It's a similar story with positivity - rising most rapidly in Scotland, more slowly in England and Wales and declining in Northern Ireland.
3/10

At a regional level in England, all regions are now seeing rises in cases (per 100k) and are moving away again from the lowest (September 1st) levels (green diamonds).
4/10

These cross-regional rises are reflected in positivity rates as well. All regions are back up above their September 1st positivity levels.
North West is highest and rising fastest.
5/10

Looking at the positivity rates by English local authority, the majority of English LAs (84%) showed week on week increases. Most (63%) now have positivity rates higher than September 1st.
6/10

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