Justin McElroy Profile picture
Vancouver guy travelling to 52 countries in 52 weeks. On a break from this website. Strives to tell unique stories. https://t.co/bD9PT5oPPN

Jun 15, 2021, 9 tweets

Just 277 new cases of #COVID19 in B.C. over the last three days — with two of those days under 100 cases for the first time since October 1.

Active cases at 1537, lowest since October 16.

Hospitalizations down 16% in three days.

Today's chart.

There are so many good takeaways from today's numbers, the most I can recall for months and months, that I now regret taking the day off, because I continue to learn the wrong work life balance lessons time and time again.

But let's go through some of them.

An average of 51,589 people in B.C. received a vaccine shot in each of the last three days.

That's the highest number yet on a weekend.

We're now at 75.9% of all adults with one dose — the drive to 80% still in reach.

(80% is a round number, and an arbitrary one, and while the value of such things is limited, getting 4 of 5 British Columbians with two doses by the summer will be a tremendous help, based on everything we know about the virus)

The predictable chart is levelling off now — but we're still seeing downward progress, which is good and important.

Modelling suggests rise in cases could come — but because the sample size of countries with the vaccine update of B.C. is so small, a lot of good still possible.

An underrated part of today's good news?

For the first time since the 2nd wave, the rolling average of daily #COVID19 deaths in B.C. is under two.

Hospitalizations? Now falling very fast, down 50% in two weeks.

The regional breakdown? We're approaching single digits a day for Vancouver Coastal Health, and now there for Northern and Island Health.

Testing rate? Now at 2.6%.

This is all very good!

And again, what does it look like when a place gets to 80% of adults with one dose, primarily using the Pfizer/Moderna vaccine?

We really only have one comparable: Israel.

And they've been stable at around 15 cases/day for a few weeks.

There are still lots of unknowns, but what we're seeing in B.C. is the vaccine uptake and virus suppression necessary for people to have many, many weeks of a summer where they can breathe a little easier.

Keep making smart choices.

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