John Roberts Profile picture
Actuary for far too many years. Welsh, but now live in the spiritual home of the Wurzels out west. Don’t think I’ve got the accent yet. Like zider though...

Jun 25, 2021, 8 tweets

The annual population estimate from the ONS has just been published, and shows a 0.4% increase across the UK (from June 19 to June 20) to 67.1m. That's the lowest growth rate since 2001.

A short thread...
1/
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…

For those of us looking at age bands to work out vaccine take-up rates, the biggest increase is in the 75-79 group, (+3.6% for England) which has previously been an anomaly with take-up over 100%.

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Mid year to mid year, there's the lowest natural change (births less deaths) for at least 38 years. This is due to fewer births and more deaths (up 13% - the highest in 34 years).

Net international migration makes up the balance of the overall increase.

3/

Continuing a trend for several years, London sees the largest outflow of residents, being around 1% of the population in the latest year, very slightly up on the previous year.

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🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿had the largest increase last year, just ahead of 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿. Is that the great rugby, the glorious weather, or the removal of the M4 tolls in Dec 18 I wonder?

In contrast,🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 had the lowest increase.

5/

London has by far and away the lowest median age, around 5 years lower than many areas - that's important when considering the roll out of the vaccine.

In contrast the SW is the oldest, 8 years higher than London.

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There's a neat little interactive tool you can play around with to compare your area with another.

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Next year's update will use the results of the recent census, adjusted for the period between the census date to the end of June.

7/7

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