Charles Gaba ✡️ Profile picture
Healthcare data analysis & snark 🦋 https://t.co/ouYwTXWvCw 🐘 https://t.co/ol5x7WaYzF 🧵 https://t.co/hQQ3vS7OlT

Jun 30, 2021, 33 tweets

📣 It's been a few weeks since I ran the county-level plots so I figure it's time to update them.

NOTE: I've expanded the Y-axis from 70% out to 90% of the entire population, which is the highest you could conceivably get to if limited to ages 12+.

CALIFORNIA. R^2: 0.7581.

ALABAMA.
Vaccination rates only range from 14 - 41%.

KANSAS.
Anyone know if there's anything special about Graham County (pop. 2,500)?

NEW MEXICO.
WOW! Go McKinley County, Go! They've *fully* vaccinated over *85%* of their ENTIRE population (not just adults)!

PENNSYLVANIA.
Philadelphia really has to up their game.

WEST VIRGINIA.
A few months ago they led the country. Now...not so much.

ILLINOIS.
Jo Daviess county is an outlier for some reason...population 21,000...any thoughts?

MICHIGAN.
I've overlaid a breakout of the City of Detroit from the rest of Wayne County. A bit depressing I'm afraid.

TENNESSEE.

WYOMING.
R^2: 0.8315.

ALASKA.
Alaska is kind of all over the place, but AK residents have told me that's to be expected--very unusual geography, demographic mix, and even their population center methodology is odd--they don't have "counties," they have "boroughs" and then a bunch of "census areas."

IDAHO.

MAINE.
R^2: 0.8141

NEVADA.

OKLAHOMA.

WISCONSIN.

ARIZONA. Go Santa Cruz!

IOWA (in addition to expanding the Y-axis out to 90%, I've also started adding the "herd immunity" range starting at 80% to give a better sense of how far/close the target is for each county):

MINNESOTA.

KENTUCKY.

MISSOURI.

NEW YORK.

ARKANSAS.

COLORADO. R^2: 0.7073
San Juan & Mineral County doing well!

CONNECTICUT, DELAWARE, DC, HAWAII & RHODE ISLAND
(none of them have more than 8 counties so it seemed a bit silly to give each one its own graph)

Note: Kelawao County, Hawaii only has 86 residents. Still, good for them!

FLORIDA. Adding the herd immunity zone puts even Sumter County in perspective (that's where "The Villages," the massive MAGA retirement community, is located)

GEORGIA.

INDIANA.

LOUISIANA. West Feliciana way out ahead, interestingly.

MARYLAND.

MASSACHUSETTS. Even in the bluest states the pattern is still there, if only faintly...

MISSISSIPPI.
Not good. Not good at all.

MONTANA.
R^2: 0.7074

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