📣 It's been a few weeks since I ran the county-level plots so I figure it's time to update them.
NOTE: I've expanded the Y-axis from 70% out to 90% of the entire population, which is the highest you could conceivably get to if limited to ages 12+.
CALIFORNIA. R^2: 0.7581.
ALABAMA.
Vaccination rates only range from 14 - 41%.
KANSAS.
Anyone know if there's anything special about Graham County (pop. 2,500)?
NEW MEXICO.
WOW! Go McKinley County, Go! They've *fully* vaccinated over *85%* of their ENTIRE population (not just adults)!
PENNSYLVANIA.
Philadelphia really has to up their game.
WEST VIRGINIA.
A few months ago they led the country. Now...not so much.
ILLINOIS.
Jo Daviess county is an outlier for some reason...population 21,000...any thoughts?
MICHIGAN.
I've overlaid a breakout of the City of Detroit from the rest of Wayne County. A bit depressing I'm afraid.
TENNESSEE.
WYOMING.
R^2: 0.8315.
ALASKA.
Alaska is kind of all over the place, but AK residents have told me that's to be expected--very unusual geography, demographic mix, and even their population center methodology is odd--they don't have "counties," they have "boroughs" and then a bunch of "census areas."
IDAHO.
MAINE.
R^2: 0.8141
NEVADA.
OKLAHOMA.
WISCONSIN.
ARIZONA. Go Santa Cruz!
IOWA (in addition to expanding the Y-axis out to 90%, I've also started adding the "herd immunity" range starting at 80% to give a better sense of how far/close the target is for each county):
MINNESOTA.
KENTUCKY.
MISSOURI.
NEW YORK.
ARKANSAS.
COLORADO. R^2: 0.7073
San Juan & Mineral County doing well!
CONNECTICUT, DELAWARE, DC, HAWAII & RHODE ISLAND
(none of them have more than 8 counties so it seemed a bit silly to give each one its own graph)
Note: Kelawao County, Hawaii only has 86 residents. Still, good for them!
FLORIDA. Adding the herd immunity zone puts even Sumter County in perspective (that's where "The Villages," the massive MAGA retirement community, is located)
GEORGIA.
INDIANA.
LOUISIANA. West Feliciana way out ahead, interestingly.
MARYLAND.
MASSACHUSETTS. Even in the bluest states the pattern is still there, if only faintly...
MISSISSIPPI.
Not good. Not good at all.
MONTANA.
R^2: 0.7074
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Thread. ~20 years ago, one of the minor controversies surrounding then-President George W. Bush was after being warned that something he wanted to do was unconstitutional, he allegedly angrily replied that the Constitution is "just a damned piece of paper!" 1/
I don't know whether this actually happened or not, but regardless of how appalling it my is, on the most basic level that's actually *correct*: The Constitution *in and of itself* *is* "just a damned peice of paper." It's not a talisman. It doesn't have any magical powers. 2/
The power of The Constitution is in the hands of whoever the American People happen to be at any particular point in time.
If those in charge *and* enough of those who aren't either actively want to ignore the Constitution or just don't care enough to defend it, guess what? 3/
🧵 I just had a lengthy conversation with someone who wanted some insight as to how I've been so successful with my Democratic fundraising project over the past few cycles.
(obviously it wasn't called that in 2020 or 2022) 1/Blue24.org
For those unaware, I've raised nearly $8 MILLION *directly* for hundreds of Democratic candidates since 2019. And I've done it *without* a mailing list or texting anyone. I've done it without a PAC or a staff.
It's all been done purely online via social media. 2/
The reason I started "formally" raising money for Democrats online (as opposed to just occasionally retweeting some candidates ActBlue link now & then) is because I kept seeing Dems griping that they didn't trust how the DCCC/DSCC was allocating funds, etc. 3/
I said it's our only *chance* of doing so. It would also require, within the next 4 years, either:
1. Both Alito & Thomas retire (hah) or pass away.
Or...
2. Congress passes legislation to either expand or otherwise modify SCOTUS.
Even THEN, the damage done by the SCOTUS majority (half of which appointed by Trump) *until* either of those things happens would still take YEARS or DECADES to repair.
And some of it can never be repaired.
...all because some of you refused to vote for Hillary in 2016.
As someone pushing HARD for folks to donate to Democrats up & down the ballot, I’d like to note something about the AIPAC money brouhaha re NY-16.
Yes, money CAN make a significant difference in a race, but only up to a point. After that there’s diminishing returns. 1/
My guess is the first few million dollars AIPAC spent on the NY-16 race probably helped Latimer by a point or two. After that, however, it probably didn’t make much difference at all & may have even hurt him a bit due to residents getting sick of the constant ads/mailers etc. 2/
As a different example, in 2020, the poster child for throwing money down the drain was Amy McGrath for Senate in KY. She raised an insane $90 million & lost by 20 points. Even more insane is she probably would have lost by about the same margin if she’d spent 1/10th as much. 3/
I just returned from my 4th road trip from Detroit to DC & back over the past 2 years. Since it's the same route each time I have a pretty apples to apples comparison on EV public chargers over time. 1/
The good news is that it looks like Electrify America, which makes up most of the chargers along the route (I-275/280, I-80/90 (OH Turnpike), I-70/270 (PA Turnpike), seems to be in the process of upgrading their charging stations; the newer ones seem to be more reliable. 2/
The bad news is that they've raised their prices substantially, at least at the stations along this route--they were usually $0.35/kWh 2 years ago; now they're charging $0.56/kWh.
By comparison, residential electricity in Oakland Cty, MI is around $0.18/kWh. 3/