Thread by @TravellingTabby

travellingtabby.com/uk-coronavirus…

Sadly 96 new deaths were reported throughout the UK today, which is almost double the number reported last Tuesday

Also I've included a little thread below covering some of the UK figures from the past week!👇

#Covid19UK #coronavirusuk #DailyCovidUpdate

First, here are some figures on cases, which are still rising.

This neat little percentage change chart on the official UK Gov dashboard shows the rate of growth in cases. It was slowing down for most of July, but it has started increasing again, and quite sharply in recent days

The case rate in England right now has surpassed what Scotland reached during their recent peak, and isn't really showing much signs of slowing down.

Northern Ireland has had a pretty sharp spike in recent days too, and has just climbed above Scotland also.

At a more regional level, cases are still rising across England, with 5 of the 9 regions seeing more than a 50% increase from last week.

All of those regions individually have a higher case rate than Scotland/Wales/N. Ireland too

And then at a local authority level, Redcar and Cleveland/Middlesbrough now have the highest case rates in the UK.

No Scottish areas are on the front page of this chart anymore (the highest is Midlothian, 6 pages in), although Shetland do have the highest weekly rate change

Deaths throughout the UK are still rising, unfortunately.

We're averaging about 50 new deaths a day now, although todays figure was double that.

It does look like they've peaked in Scotland, although its probably best to give it another week before saying that, to be sure

The number of people in hospital and icu/ventilation is unfortunately still rising, as expected.

The figures are still low in comparison to January, but as cases keep rising these figures will keep getting higher too

This chart is for Scotland only, but its still useful to see as an example of what we might expect to happen in England over the coming weeks.

As you can see the link between cases and hospitalizations is greatly weakened, but there is still a link there

Moving on, vaccinations are still slowing down, more so with the first doses.

It seems like it is a mix of low supply, not many people left to get through, and a lot of people who need to wait four weeks to get their dose because they caught covid recently.

But the total figures are still looking good!

We're almost at 70% of the total population with their first dose, and 70% of the adult population with their second dose.

Hopefully we'll reach those two milestones this week!

No Northern Ireland data is available in the additional death data page this week, but for the rest of the UK, there were 209 new deaths reported.

That is up quite a bit from last week, and I imagine similar increases will occur for the next few weeks at least.

Excess deaths were up too, although still well within the normal range of where we would expect them to be at this time of the year.

Oh, and internationally, there were over 3.6 million new cases reported this week, which is up 15% from last week.

This is including fairly sharp increases throughout the EU and USA. Although the rate of the cases we've got here in the UK is still quite a bit higher.

Globally, just under 55,000 new deaths from the virus were reported in the past week. Although that is down 3% from last week.

The number of deaths being seen in Scotland right now is one of the highest in Europe (per capita). Although Russia are seeing the most by a distance

And then in nicer news, over 212 million new vaccinations were administered in the past week!

Over a quarter of the worlds entire population has now had their first dose of the vaccine. In Europe and North America, it is close to half of the entire population.

Anyways, that is all! Although here is an update to this chart for England too.

It isn't looking particularly great. Although I believe that the schools down there are finishing for summer this week, so that should definitely help.

In Scotland hospital admissions peaked around 2 weeks after cases peaked.

So even if cases in England and the rest of the UK peaked tomorrow, we're still looking at two further weeks of fairly sharp hospital increases. And a little longer for the deaths to peak after that too.

But according to this, it doesn't really look like cases are peaking. They're increasing at a faster rate if anything... so that isn't good.

But hopefully the schools ending + nice outdoor weather = a peak in cases coming sooner rather than later.

And I guess freedom day is a huge wildcard too. Whether people stick to the previous guidelines, or go back to a pre-covid life.

No effects of that will be in the figures yet. But we'll see what happens over the next couple of weeks!