Jasmine Opperman Profile picture
Since leaving the intelligence community, she compiles weekly and monthly Insights and Forecasts on Extremism and Political Violence in Southern Africa.

Jul 21, 2021, 6 tweets

South Africa
1) Why the need for intelligence? The following is a concise but excellent summary:

2) The next phase, specifically for provincial offices, is to enable accountable operational and analysis environments determining processes at play with concerning indications of intentional securitization and support for such calls.

3) From hereon with, determine issues to be registered, monitored, and investigated. Tactical early warning then gains a formalized and a substantiated framework, steering away from vague generalized scenarios. Imprecise early warning creates confusion and the client in panic.

4) And best to keep the following in mind (situational knowledge and insight)

5) Intelligence management (provincial and national) at this point is of utmost importance in how to use and engage provincial and national clients on red flags. Added, know the client's resilience and institutional capacity to counter threats.

6) The management challenge is how to control the jackasses who don’t understand the risk and do as they please. Hence, intelligence is about national interests of South Africa: nothing more nor less.

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