Seroprevalence in #Kerala is 42.7% compared to 67.6% as per the note shared byGovt. of Kerala y'day. i.e., a difference of 25% points.
It implies, the pandemic spread in Kerala has stayed consistently well below the national avg. indicating a more flattened curve in Kerala.
1/
Both 7-day avg. daily new cases & test positivity rates are on a steady rise in #Kerala as ~50% of the popn still remain susceptible.
Daily testing has been stable around 1.3L/day
The state needs to significantly increase its daily testing given the high & increasing TPR
2/
Although the daily reported deaths have declined a bit, the mortality rate itself has been on the rise.
At 0.5%, it is higher than the previous wave.
3/
Daily new cases are either rising or flat across all the districts.
A 7-day averaging could not smoothen the reported daily deaths which are fluctuating widely across many districts. This is not ideal.
4/
This thread provides an explanation of why the cases in Kerala are still not falling while it has fallen in much of the rest of the country.
5/5
Cases continue to surge in Kerala with 18531 new cases reported today.
TPR has reduced due to increased testing at 1.56L.
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