Thread by @CORF_FPL

📝 A GW1 THREAD

🔎 PRE SEASON
📸 20/21 Snapshot
💸 Summer Moves

🔎 GW1
🎯 Fixtures to Target
©️ Captaincy
📉 Differentials
🔮 Predictions
📡 On the Radar
🏃 Fixture Runs
🚌 Bus Team
⚖️ Balance Tool

Here we go again..

#FPL #FPLCommunity

📸 20/21 SNAPSHOT - TEAMS

Goals Scored
1. MCI (83)
2. MUN (73
3. LEI/LIV (68)

Least Goals Scored
18. BUR (33)
16. WOL (36)
15. BHA (40)

Least Goals Conceded
20. MCI (32)
19. CHE (36)
18. ARS (39)

Most Goals Conceded
2. SOU (68)
3. CRY (66)
5. NEW (62)

Clean Sheets:
MCI (19)

📸 20/21 SNAPSHOT - PLAYERS

Points
1. Bruno (244)
2. Kane (242)

Goals
1. Kane (23)
2. Salah (22)

Assists
1. Bruno, Kane, Vardy (14)

xG
1. Salah (21.76)
2. Vardy (20.03)

xA
1. Bruno (13.41)
2. KDB (12.18)

(xG/xA from @FFH_HQ)

💸 SUMMER TRANSFERS

My top 5 summer transfers from an FPL perspective (Pre Kane MCI)

🟣 INGS (SOU ➡️ AVL)
A proven goalscorer, if he stays fit he'll go big this season

🔴 SANCHO (DOR ➡️ MUN)
Finally after 2 years trying, MUN get their man. Really excited to see him in the PL

💸 SUMMER TRANSFERS

🔵 LUKAKU (INT ➡️ CHE)
He's a different animal these days, backing him for a 20+ season

🔵 GREALISH (AVL ➡️ MCI)
Rotation risk, but a baller. £8.0m is a decent price

🔴 WHITE (BHA ➡️ ARS)
£4.5m, improves an ARS backline that conceded 3rd least goals 20/21

📋 WELCOME TO GW1

⏰ DEADLINE
Friday 13th August @ 6.30pm (UK)

📆 FRIDAY
BRE vs ARS

📆 SATURDAY
MUN vs LEE
BUR vs BHA
CHE vs CRY
EVE vs SOU
LEI vs WOL
WAT vs AVL
NOR vs LIV

📆 SUNDAY
NEW vs WHU
TOT vs MCI

🎯 FIXTURE TO TARGET
➡️ NOR vs LIV

Ovcourse anything can happen in football but I can't help but see anything other than a comfortable win for LIV in this one. Given their early run of fixtures I'm anticipating triple LIV will be very popular. I'm going for a 4-0 win for Pool.

🎯 FIXTURE TO TARGET
➡️ CHE vs CRY

Plenty consider CHE to be MCI's main contenders for the PL this season. I expect them to give Viera a difficult start to life as a PL manager given how impressive they've been under Tuchel, but a trickier run of games follows GW1. 3-0 CHE!

©️ CAPTAINCY
➡️ SALAH

6 goals in the last 4 seasons GW1, Mo loves nothing more than to get himself off the mark in the opening game of the season. I'm confident he will do so again this season with a very attractive trip to NOR to open the campaign.

🔒 Locked as my GW1 captain

©️ CAPTAINCY
➡️ TAA

Finished the 20/21 season on fire and although VVD isn't expected to start GW1 & Robbo injured I still fancy LIV's chances of a CS. Trent is a BPS magnet who, coupled with the possible CS should be in and around any attacking returns. Should be considered.

©️ CAPTAINCY
➡️ Others

🔵 HAVERTZ
With Big Rom en route he'll want to showcase his skills against a CRY team in transition

🔴 BRUNO
Last seasons top scoring player, he can smash it up in any game. I fancy a return vs LEE

🔴 MANE
The differential LIV captaincy option

📉 DIFFERENTIAL CENTRAL

🥇GREENWOOD
Fixture: LEE (H)
Price: £7.5m
TSB: 4.2%

🥈MAHREZ
Fixture: TOT (A)
Price: £9.0m
TSB: 6.2%

🥉BENRAHMA
Fixture: NEW (A)
Price: £6.0m
TSB: 2.4%

🏅LACAZETTE
Fixture: BRE (A)
Price: £8.5m
TSB: 4.5%

🔮 PREDICTIONS

➡️ GW1 POINTS
1. Salah (7.50)
2. Bruno (6.54)
3. Mane (6.19)
4. Chilwell (5.80)
5. DCL (5.78)
6. Mount (5.57)
7. Mahrez (5.42)
8. TAA (5.38)

➡️ GW1 GOALS
1. Salah - 73%
2. DCL - 62%
3. Ings - 54%
4. Mane - 50%
5. Bruno - 50%

* Predictions from @FFH_HQ

🔮 PREDICTIONS

➡️ GW1-GW5 POINTS
1. Salah (34.36)
2. Bruno (32.22)
3. Mane (28.91)
4. Mahrez (28.91)
5. TAA (26.60)
6. Son (26.15)
7. Sancho (25.64)
8. Sterling (25.60)

➡️ GW1-GW5 GOALS
1. Salah - 3.17
2. Bruno - 2.47
3. DCL - 2.43
4. Jimenez - 2.39

* Predictions from @FFH_HQ

🔮 PREDICTIONS

➡️ CLEAN SHEET %
1. CHE - 60%
2. LEI - 48%
3. LIV - 45%
4. BHA - 40%
5. MUN - 38%
6. ARS - 36%
7. AVL - 33%
8. BUR - 33%

➡️ OVER 2.5 GOALS
1. LIV - 50%
2. CHE - 42%
3. MUN - 37%
4. MCI - 33%
5. ARS - 27%
6. AVL - 25%

* Predictions from @drafthound

🏃 FIXTURE RUNS

Here are the teams with positive fixture runs starting in the first 10 GWs of the season. Worth noting down..

🟣 AVL (GW1-GW3):
📆 WAT, NEW, BRE

🔴 LIV (GW1-GW6) :
📆 NOR, BUR, CHE, LEE, CRY, BRE

🔴 ARS (GW4-GW11):
📆 NOR, BUR, TOT, BHA, CRY, AVL, LEI, WAT

🏃 FIXTURE RUNS

🟠 WOL (GW4-GW14):
📆 WAT, BRE, SOU, NEW, AVL, LEE, EVE, CRY, WHU, NOR, BUR

⚪ LEE (GW5-GW10):
📆 NEW, WHU, WAT, SOU, WOL, NOR

🔵 CHE (GW7-GW11):
📆 SOU, BRE, NOR, NEW, BUR

🔴 SOU (GW9-GW12):
📆 BUR, WAT, AVL, NOR

🔥 HOT PROPERTY

Top owned players right now..

1. Shaw (51.4%)
2. Salah (49.4%)
3. Bruno (44.7%)
4. Martinez (38.9%)
5. Grealish (30.4%)
6. Dias (27.4%)
7. Foster (27.3%)
8. Watkins (26.0%)
9. DCL (26.0%)
10. White (24.2%)

* As of Sunday afternoon @ 6pm

💸 BARGAIN BIN

Sanchez (£4.5m/BHA)
Veltman (£4.5m/BHA)
Amarty (£4.0m/LEI)
White (£4.5m/ARS)
Omobamidele (£4.0/NOR)
Ait Nouri (£4.5m/WOL)
Tsimikas (£4.0m/LIV)
Smith-Rowe (£5.5m/ARS)
Brownhill (£4.5m/BUR)
Gilmour (£4.5m/NOR)
Dallas (£5.5m/LEE)
Townsend (£5.5/EVE)
Toney (£6.5m/BRE)

🔵 BRIGHTON ROTATION?

If you're looking for £4.5m DEF rotation, Veltman or Webster of BHA could be worth looking at. BHA rotate wonderfully well with ARS, LEE and WOL.

🔄 £4.5M Rotation Options
⚪ LEE: Llorente, Ayling
🔴 ARS: White, Holding
🟠 WOL: Ait Nouri

@FantasyFootyFix

📝PLANNING FOR EARLY WC?

There'll be many like me that intend to hold on to their WC for as long as possible every season before inevitablely using it inside the first 5 GWs

So I'm wondering if it's worth just planning to wildcard in advance this season? Here are two options..

📝 EARLY WC?

GW4:
Feels a little too early for me. But this strategy allows you to attack early GW's ❎

GW7:
Take advantage of CHE, LEE, MCI & ARS fixture swings with 6 GW's worth of information. Also falls during an international break where COVID/injuries can be an issue ✅

🚌 BUS TEAM

It feels like I'm going to have to part with Bruno if I want to pave way for Kane or Lukaku! 😬💭

No doubt this team changes as the days count down to the GW1 deadline but I feel content with it for now ⤵️

⚖️ BALANCE TOOL

🟥 Jota

🟧 Toney

🟨 Bruno, Barnes, White, Antonio, Ings, Amartey

🟩 Salah, TAA, Sanchez, Foster, Shaw, Gilmour, Veltman

➡️ The Balance Tool Explained


🧐 SCOUTING REPLACEMENTS
🟧 Toney to Jimenez GW4?
🟥 Jota to Raphinha GW3?

✅ RECOMMENDED CONTENT

🎙️@WGTA_FPL
➡️ Behavioural Science Pod


🧵 @FPLCompare
➡️ £4.5m MID's/FWD's Thread


🏟️ @FPL_Connect
➡️ Custom Leagues & Cups
fplconnect.uk