๐Ÿ“ A GW1 THREAD

๐Ÿ”Ž PRE SEASON
๐Ÿ“ธ 20/21 Snapshot
๐Ÿ’ธ Summer Moves

๐Ÿ”Ž GW1
๐ŸŽฏ Fixtures to Target
ยฉ๏ธ Captaincy
๐Ÿ“‰ Differentials
๐Ÿ”ฎ Predictions
๐Ÿ“ก On the Radar
๐Ÿƒ Fixture Runs
๐ŸšŒ Bus Team
โš–๏ธ Balance Tool

Here we go again..

#FPL #FPLCommunity
๐Ÿ“ธ 20/21 SNAPSHOT - TEAMS

Goals Scored
1. MCI (83)
2. MUN (73
3. LEI/LIV (68)

Least Goals Scored
18. BUR (33)
16. WOL (36)
15. BHA (40)

Least Goals Conceded
20. MCI (32)
19. CHE (36)
18. ARS (39)

Most Goals Conceded
2. SOU (68)
3. CRY (66)
5. NEW (62)

Clean Sheets:
MCI (19) Image
๐Ÿ“ธ 20/21 SNAPSHOT - PLAYERS

Points
1. Bruno (244)
2. Kane (242)

Goals
1. Kane (23)
2. Salah (22)

Assists
1. Bruno, Kane, Vardy (14)

xG
1. Salah (21.76)
2. Vardy (20.03)

xA
1. Bruno (13.41)
2. KDB (12.18)

(xG/xA from @FFH_HQ) Image
๐Ÿ’ธ SUMMER TRANSFERS

My top 5 summer transfers from an FPL perspective (Pre Kane MCI)

๐ŸŸฃ INGS (SOU โžก๏ธ AVL)
A proven goalscorer, if he stays fit he'll go big this season

๐Ÿ”ด SANCHO (DOR โžก๏ธ MUN)
Finally after 2 years trying, MUN get their man. Really excited to see him in the PL ImageImage
๐Ÿ’ธ SUMMER TRANSFERS

๐Ÿ”ต LUKAKU (INT โžก๏ธ CHE)
He's a different animal these days, backing him for a 20+ season

๐Ÿ”ต GREALISH (AVL โžก๏ธ MCI)
Rotation risk, but a baller. ยฃ8.0m is a decent price

๐Ÿ”ด WHITE (BHA โžก๏ธ ARS)
ยฃ4.5m, improves an ARS backline that conceded 3rd least goals 20/21 ImageImageImage
๐Ÿ“‹ WELCOME TO GW1

โฐ DEADLINE
Friday 13th August @ 6.30pm (UK)

๐Ÿ“† FRIDAY
BRE vs ARS

๐Ÿ“† SATURDAY
MUN vs LEE
BUR vs BHA
CHE vs CRY
EVE vs SOU
LEI vs WOL
WAT vs AVL
NOR vs LIV

๐Ÿ“† SUNDAY
NEW vs WHU
TOT vs MCI Image
๐ŸŽฏ FIXTURE TO TARGET
โžก๏ธ NOR vs LIV

Ovcourse anything can happen in football but I can't help but see anything other than a comfortable win for LIV in this one. Given their early run of fixtures I'm anticipating triple LIV will be very popular. I'm going for a 4-0 win for Pool. Image
๐ŸŽฏ FIXTURE TO TARGET
โžก๏ธ CHE vs CRY

Plenty consider CHE to be MCI's main contenders for the PL this season. I expect them to give Viera a difficult start to life as a PL manager given how impressive they've been under Tuchel, but a trickier run of games follows GW1. 3-0 CHE! Image
ยฉ๏ธ CAPTAINCY
โžก๏ธ SALAH

6 goals in the last 4 seasons GW1, Mo loves nothing more than to get himself off the mark in the opening game of the season. I'm confident he will do so again this season with a very attractive trip to NOR to open the campaign.

๐Ÿ”’ Locked as my GW1 captain Image
ยฉ๏ธ CAPTAINCY
โžก๏ธ TAA

Finished the 20/21 season on fire and although VVD isn't expected to start GW1 & Robbo injured I still fancy LIV's chances of a CS. Trent is a BPS magnet who, coupled with the possible CS should be in and around any attacking returns. Should be considered. Image
ยฉ๏ธ CAPTAINCY
โžก๏ธ Others

๐Ÿ”ต HAVERTZ
With Big Rom en route he'll want to showcase his skills against a CRY team in transition

๐Ÿ”ด BRUNO
Last seasons top scoring player, he can smash it up in any game. I fancy a return vs LEE

๐Ÿ”ด MANE
The differential LIV captaincy option ImageImageImage
๐Ÿ“‰ DIFFERENTIAL CENTRAL

๐Ÿฅ‡GREENWOOD
Fixture: LEE (H)
Price: ยฃ7.5m
TSB: 4.2%

๐ŸฅˆMAHREZ
Fixture: TOT (A)
Price: ยฃ9.0m
TSB: 6.2%

๐Ÿฅ‰BENRAHMA
Fixture: NEW (A)
Price: ยฃ6.0m
TSB: 2.4%

๐Ÿ…LACAZETTE
Fixture: BRE (A)
Price: ยฃ8.5m
TSB: 4.5% Image
๐Ÿ”ฎ PREDICTIONS

โžก๏ธ GW1 POINTS
1. Salah (7.50)
2. Bruno (6.54)
3. Mane (6.19)
4. Chilwell (5.80)
5. DCL (5.78)
6. Mount (5.57)
7. Mahrez (5.42)
8. TAA (5.38)

โžก๏ธ GW1 GOALS
1. Salah - 73%
2. DCL - 62%
3. Ings - 54%
4. Mane - 50%
5. Bruno - 50%

* Predictions from @FFH_HQ Image
๐Ÿ”ฎ PREDICTIONS

โžก๏ธ GW1-GW5 POINTS
1. Salah (34.36)
2. Bruno (32.22)
3. Mane (28.91)
4. Mahrez (28.91)
5. TAA (26.60)
6. Son (26.15)
7. Sancho (25.64)
8. Sterling (25.60)

โžก๏ธ GW1-GW5 GOALS
1. Salah - 3.17
2. Bruno - 2.47
3. DCL - 2.43
4. Jimenez - 2.39

* Predictions from @FFH_HQ Image
๐Ÿ”ฎ PREDICTIONS

โžก๏ธ CLEAN SHEET %
1. CHE - 60%
2. LEI - 48%
3. LIV - 45%
4. BHA - 40%
5. MUN - 38%
6. ARS - 36%
7. AVL - 33%
8. BUR - 33%

โžก๏ธ OVER 2.5 GOALS
1. LIV - 50%
2. CHE - 42%
3. MUN - 37%
4. MCI - 33%
5. ARS - 27%
6. AVL - 25%

* Predictions from @drafthound Image
๐Ÿƒ FIXTURE RUNS

Here are the teams with positive fixture runs starting in the first 10 GWs of the season. Worth noting down..

๐ŸŸฃ AVL (GW1-GW3):
๐Ÿ“† WAT, NEW, BRE

๐Ÿ”ด LIV (GW1-GW6) :
๐Ÿ“† NOR, BUR, CHE, LEE, CRY, BRE

๐Ÿ”ด ARS (GW4-GW11):
๐Ÿ“† NOR, BUR, TOT, BHA, CRY, AVL, LEI, WAT Image
๐Ÿƒ FIXTURE RUNS

๐ŸŸ  WOL (GW4-GW14):
๐Ÿ“† WAT, BRE, SOU, NEW, AVL, LEE, EVE, CRY, WHU, NOR, BUR

โšช LEE (GW5-GW10):
๐Ÿ“† NEW, WHU, WAT, SOU, WOL, NOR

๐Ÿ”ต CHE (GW7-GW11):
๐Ÿ“† SOU, BRE, NOR, NEW, BUR

๐Ÿ”ด SOU (GW9-GW12):
๐Ÿ“† BUR, WAT, AVL, NOR Image
๐Ÿ”ฅ HOT PROPERTY

Top owned players right now..

1. Shaw (51.4%)
2. Salah (49.4%)
3. Bruno (44.7%)
4. Martinez (38.9%)
5. Grealish (30.4%)
6. Dias (27.4%)
7. Foster (27.3%)
8. Watkins (26.0%)
9. DCL (26.0%)
10. White (24.2%)

* As of Sunday afternoon @ 6pm Image
๐Ÿ’ธ BARGAIN BIN

Sanchez (ยฃ4.5m/BHA)
Veltman (ยฃ4.5m/BHA)
Amarty (ยฃ4.0m/LEI)
White (ยฃ4.5m/ARS)
Omobamidele (ยฃ4.0/NOR)
Ait Nouri (ยฃ4.5m/WOL)
Tsimikas (ยฃ4.0m/LIV)
Smith-Rowe (ยฃ5.5m/ARS)
Brownhill (ยฃ4.5m/BUR)
Gilmour (ยฃ4.5m/NOR)
Dallas (ยฃ5.5m/LEE)
Townsend (ยฃ5.5/EVE)
Toney (ยฃ6.5m/BRE) Image
๐Ÿ”ต BRIGHTON ROTATION?

If you're looking for ยฃ4.5m DEF rotation, Veltman or Webster of BHA could be worth looking at. BHA rotate wonderfully well with ARS, LEE and WOL.

๐Ÿ”„ ยฃ4.5M Rotation Options
โšช LEE: Llorente, Ayling
๐Ÿ”ด ARS: White, Holding
๐ŸŸ  WOL: Ait Nouri

@FantasyFootyFix ImageImageImageImage
๐Ÿ“PLANNING FOR EARLY WC?

There'll be many like me that intend to hold on to their WC for as long as possible every season before inevitablely using it inside the first 5 GWs

So I'm wondering if it's worth just planning to wildcard in advance this season? Here are two options.. Image
๐Ÿ“ EARLY WC?

GW4:
Feels a little too early for me. But this strategy allows you to attack early GW's โŽ

GW7:
Take advantage of CHE, LEE, MCI & ARS fixture swings with 6 GW's worth of information. Also falls during an international break where COVID/injuries can be an issue โœ… Image
๐ŸšŒ BUS TEAM

It feels like I'm going to have to part with Bruno if I want to pave way for Kane or Lukaku! ๐Ÿ˜ฌ๐Ÿ’ญ

No doubt this team changes as the days count down to the GW1 deadline but I feel content with it for now โคต๏ธ Image
โš–๏ธ BALANCE TOOL

๐ŸŸฅ Jota

๐ŸŸง Toney

๐ŸŸจ Bruno, Barnes, White, Antonio, Ings, Amartey

๐ŸŸฉ Salah, TAA, Sanchez, Foster, Shaw, Gilmour, Veltman

โžก๏ธ The Balance Tool Explained


๐Ÿง SCOUTING REPLACEMENTS
๐ŸŸง Toney to Jimenez GW4?
๐ŸŸฅ Jota to Raphinha GW3? Image
โœ… RECOMMENDED CONTENT

๐ŸŽ™๏ธ@WGTA_FPL
โžก๏ธ Behavioural Science Pod


๐Ÿงต @FPLCompare
โžก๏ธ ยฃ4.5m MID's/FWD's Thread


๐ŸŸ๏ธ @FPL_Connect
โžก๏ธ Custom Leagues & Cups
fplconnect.uk

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More from @CORF_FPL

Oct 20, 2023
๐ŸŸ๏ธ GAMEWEEK 9: A THREAD

Including:
๐Ÿฅ… Clean Sheet %
โšฝ Over 2 Goals %
๐Ÿš€ Anytime Scorer/Assist %
๐Ÿ”ฎ Point Predictions
ยฉ๏ธ Captaincy
๐ŸŽฐ Differentials
๐Ÿ”„ In'd & Binned
๐Ÿ—๏ธ GW9 Plan

Sorry it's late, I've been right up against it this week! ๐Ÿฅต

#FPL | #FPLCommunity | @OfficialFPL Image
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ WELCOME TO GW9

โฐ Deadline:
Saturday 21st October @ 11.00am (UK)

๐ŸŽฏ GW9 Win %:
1๏ธโƒฃ Liverpool (77%) vs EVE
2๏ธโƒฃ Man City (73%) vs BHA
3๏ธโƒฃ Man Utd (71%) vs SHU
4๏ธโƒฃ Newcastle (69%) vs CRY
5๏ธโƒฃ Spurs (67%) vs FUL

๐ŸŸ Top 1m Chip Use so far..
WC1: 42% BB: 6.4% FH: 8.8% TC: 8.9% Image
๐Ÿฅ… GW9 CLEAN SHEET %

1๏ธโƒฃ NEW 50%
2๏ธโƒฃ NFO 48%
3๏ธโƒฃ MUN 44%
4๏ธโƒฃ LIV 42%
5๏ธโƒฃ BRE 40%
6๏ธโƒฃ TOT 38%
7๏ธโƒฃ MCI 36%
8๏ธโƒฃ ARS 31%

๐Ÿงค FUL keeper Leno leads the way for GK bonus points so far this season with 8, behind him are Neto & Johnstone, both tied on 5.

๐Ÿ“ฑFull List:
drafthound.com/?utm_medium=fpโ€ฆ
Image
Read 24 tweets
Sep 21, 2023
๐Ÿ“ GAMEWEEK 6: A THREAD

Including:
โœ๐Ÿป GW5 Notes
๐Ÿฅ… Clean Sheet %
โšฝ Over 2 Goals %
๐Ÿ”ฎ Point Predictions
ยฉ๏ธ Captaincy
๐Ÿ“‰ Differentials
โ‰๏ธ Dilemmas
๐Ÿ”„ In & Out's
๐Ÿƒ WILDCARD ACTIVE

#FPL | #FPLCommunity | @OfficialFPL Image
โœ๐Ÿป GW5 Notes..

Another very impressive display from ALVAREZ with 2x assists. Remains on most City set pieces.

HAALAND with 6 big chances & 2.69 xG but only 1 goal. Non cappers (Me) can count themselves very, very lucky.

KABORE created 2 big chances for LUT with 0.86 xA. Image
โœ๐Ÿป GW5 Notes..

KULUSEVSKI with 7 shots, all inside the box. Scored a late, late goal to secure 2-1 win. Possible GW8 differential?

RASHFORD with 9 shots vs BHA, 6 inside the box. Remains the best MUN asset IMO.

WATKINS with his 4th assist of the season. Surely due a goal soon? Image
Read 25 tweets
Sep 13, 2023
๐Ÿ“ GAMEWEEK 5: A THREAD

Including:
๐Ÿ“Š Season Stats so far
๐Ÿฅ… Clean Sheet %
โšฝ Over 2 Goals %
๐Ÿ”ฎ Point Predictions
ยฉ๏ธ Captaincy
๐Ÿ“‰ Differentials
๐Ÿ”ฅ Hot Property
๐Ÿšฎ Top Binned
๐Ÿ—๏ธ My GW5 Plan

#FPL | #FPLCommunity | @OfficialFPL Image
๐Ÿ“Š Player Stats GW1-GW4

Points
๐Ÿฅ‡Haaland 39
๐ŸฅˆMbuemo 33
๐Ÿฅ‰Bowen 30

Goals
๐Ÿฅ‡Haaland 6
๐Ÿฅˆ Ferguson/Mbuemo 4

Assists
๐Ÿฅ‡7x Players on 3

xGI
๐Ÿฅ‡Mbuemo 4.94
๐ŸฅˆHaaland 4.72
๐Ÿฅ‰Saka 3.76

Big Chances
๐Ÿฅ‡Haaland/Jackson 7
๐Ÿฅ‰Mbuemo 6

Big Chances Created
๐Ÿฅ‡Bruno/Salah/Onana/Neto 4 Image
๐Ÿ“Š Team Stats GW1-GW4

โžก๏ธ Attack

Goals
๐Ÿฅ‡BHA 12
๐ŸฅˆMCI/TOT 11

Shots
๐Ÿฅ‡BHA 83
๐ŸฅˆTOT 73
๐Ÿฅ‰ CRY 69

Big Chances
๐Ÿฅ‡BRE 15
๐ŸฅˆBHA/CHE/EVE 14

โžก๏ธ Defensive

Goals Conceded
๐Ÿฅ‡MCI 2
๐ŸฅˆLIV 4

NPxGA
๐Ÿฅ‡MCI 2.7
๐ŸฅˆCRY 3.1
๐Ÿฅ‰ARS 3.3

Clean Sheets
๐Ÿฅ‡MCI 2
๐ŸฅˆCRY/ARS/CHE/BRE 1 Image
Read 24 tweets
Aug 6, 2023
๐Ÿ“ GW1-GW5: Building the Defence

Using @drafthound's clean sheet probabilities (%) to consider goalkeeper & defence options ahead of the GW1 deadline.

๐ŸŽฏ Teams/Targets
๐Ÿฅ… Clean Sheet %'s
๐Ÿ”„ ยฃ4.5 rotations
๐Ÿ’ธ ยฃ4.0 options
๐Ÿ“‰ Differentials

#FPL | #FPLCommunity | @OfficialFPL Image
๐ŸŸฅ ARSENAL

๐Ÿฅ… CS%
GW1: NFO (50%) 3rd
GW2: cry (39%) 3rd
GW3 FUL (40%) 3rd
GW4: MUN (36%) 6th
GW5: eve (43%) 2nd

14 clean sheets (2nd) last season but only 4 of those came at home, that said with 3 home matches in that first 5 GWs I'm certainly not put off ARS defence coverage. Image
๐Ÿ’ญ My initial reaction was to lean towards RAMSDALE, but with RAYA signed he's one to avoid IMO

GABRIEL now the stand out option. 2nd best xG of all DEF's last season, 10 goals in last 3 seasons. A threat from set pieces

๐Ÿ“‰ SALIBA to be considered if you want away from template Image
Read 25 tweets
Sep 5, 2022
๐ŸŸ๏ธ GAMEWEEK 7: A THREAD

๐Ÿฅ… Clean Sheet %
โšฝ Over 2.5 Goals %
๐ŸŽฏ Teams to Target
ยฉ๏ธ Captaincy
๐Ÿ“‰ Differential Central
๐Ÿก Hot Property
๐Ÿšฎ Top Binned
๐Ÿ—๏ธ Current Draft
๐Ÿ“ก My Watchlist

A thread built to evoke early food for thought ahead of GW7..

#FPL #FPLCommunity @OfficialFPL
โœ๐Ÿป GW6 Notes

Toney with a hat trick vs LEE including a banging free kick. He's now on 5goals & 2assists for the season

Mitrovic with another goal vs TOT. Back to back goals in each of their last 4games taking him to 6goals for the season.

Both strikers are high on my radar!
โœ๐Ÿป GW6 Notes

MUN with another win, whilst ARS dominated large spells MUN were clinical in attack. Antony debut goal & Eriksen was excellent, but Rashford the stand out FPL asset with goal & assist

Finally a LIV clean sheet! But TAA subbed on 59mins & Robbo benched! Frustrating!
Read 23 tweets
Sep 2, 2022
๐ŸŸ๏ธ A GAMEWEEK 6 MINI THREAD

๐Ÿฅ… Clean Sheet %
โšฝ Over 2.5 Goals %
๐ŸŽฏ Teams to Target
ยฉ๏ธ Captaincy
๐Ÿ“‰ Differential Central
๐Ÿก Hot Property
๐Ÿšฎ Top Binned
๐Ÿ—๏ธ Current Draft
๐Ÿ“ก My Watchlist

Another super quick turnaround as we head in to GW6..

#FPL #FPLCommunity @OfficialFPL
๐Ÿ“ GW5 Notes

Haaland with another hat trick vs NFO. Back to back hattys & 9goals already this season. Incredible

Mitrovic on the scoresheet once again, that's 5 in 5 for him. Don't let ties vs TOT & CHE put you off him, he'll cause even the best defences a problem in this form
๐Ÿ“ GW5 Notes

A very encouraging debut from Isak with a well taken goal & unlucky to have a second effort disallowed. At just ยฃ7.0 he's definitely worth keeping tabs on.

Back to back CS for MUN & 19pts from last two games for Dalot. At ยฃ4.4 he could be worth consideration
Read 24 tweets

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