Josh Wolfe Profile picture
Co-Founder @Lux_Capital | Trustee @SfiScience Santa Fe Inst | Founding Chair @CiPrep (Brooklyn) | Co-Founder of Carson, Quinn & Bodhi w/ @ltwolfe

Aug 13, 2021, 9 tweets

1/ Have appreciation, emapthy and undersattnding for our VETERANS right now.

The ‘decision’ to “withdraw” from Afghanistan is causing heartwrenching pain suffering, frustration, anger—so many sacrificed SO MUCH (and many sacrificed ALL from limbs to life)…

i have a theory

2/ The US / Pentagon could never admit this overtly

failed state in Afghanistan under Taliban will foment violent extremists as it has
and yet now China = greater U.S. priority
History shows nation fighting two fronts often flails

Crazy 💭Our enemy’s enemy may be our “friend”

3/ CCP may recognize Taliban if Kabul fails

But will Taliban? They need
-Opium trade to China
-there are 1M muslims in concentration camps on Afghanistan border

What if US “decision” was not haphazard but calculated
“Enough—make this China’s problem on the Western front”

4/ I’d like to believe that US fight in Afghanistan was NOT for naught

It kept stabilized an unstable region that was always a powder keg

And at a time when China is on OFFENSE
this is a strategic move to threaten their Central Asia interests
and distract them on western front

5/ IF intentional

its a MUCH better strategy (Clausewitz x Sun Tzu)
at time when China facing global alliances focused on Taiwan in the EAST
and improbably may have to deploy troops to WEST

support for Taliban to liberate oppressed Uighurs
would be improbale insane plot twist

6/ highlights of Biden speech today on Afghanistan.

7/

8/ UPDATE:
ISIS-K challenging Taliban, ‘declares war on China’

9/ UPDATE 2:
“…Now, as ISIS entrenches itself in Afghanistan, the group appears to be exploiting existing divisions to challenge neighboring countries, with China high on the list.” newsweek.com/isis-put-china…

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