Kit Yates Profile picture
Math Biologist. Author. Books - "Math(s) of Life and Death" Order "How to Expect the Unexpected" now - https://t.co/weTwI4ypM0

Aug 20, 2021, 7 tweets

A short thread on cases by age.
TL;DR Despite much being made of rises in younger age groups, these seem to be localised and are not reflected in the overall numbers which are mostly flat albeit at high levels.
More concerning is the steeper rises we are seeing in the >60s.
1/6

There have been some up-ticks in case rates for the under 20s in the SW, SE and NW, but other regions are flat or falling, albeit rates in these age groups are high and we would like to see them come down before schools return.
2/6

Overall numbers in the under 20s are fairly flat, as are numbers for the 20-59s, although both are quite high.
What's more worrying is the rises we are now seeing in the over 60s undoing all the falls we saw during the July dip.
3/6

This is not driven by one particular region, but worryingly is consistent across all regions of the UK.
Although their rates are lower overall, this is the most 'at-risk' age group so rises in this cohort are particularly concerning.
4/6

You can see all this from the heat map.
Cases are still highest in the younger age groups (although lower than mid-July), but have been slowly rising in the older age groups.
5/6

Broken down into 5 year bands we can see rises in most age groups, reflecting the overall rises across the country, with some age groups rising faster than others and a few still falling.
6/6

With thanks, as ever, to Bob Hawkins for his help preparing the data.

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