Thread by @BradyBGWX

My next thread focuses more on New England and Hudson Valley where you can see what I have. To be clear areas outside can see 3-6” even 4-8” too but this is area I’m highlighting most for concern of seeing isolated double digit rainfall totals. Go in depth 👇 #mawx #ctwx #nywx

As I mentioned before FGEN banding setup will create forcing and lift in the atmosphere and along that front we’ll have to look for prolific rainfall rates being setup. Imagine in a winter storm where areas that get the most banding we’ll see the most snow but surrounding…

Areas still get a lot of snow just not 18-24 but instead the 8-14” totals. In this case it’s rainfall though so areas outside of that banding we’ll still see 2-4/3-6” of rain which is a lot but areas just north of the front will have a chance to see over a half foot and maybe…

Double Digit rainfall totals in really isolated areas. Flash flooding is an extreme concern as the heaviest bulk of rainfall will fall in a 4-6 hour timeframe with a 12 hour window of possible precipitation. Finally the thread for strong winds should be noted too👇…

Here’s the low level jet depiction of Euro for next couple days. Shows more amplified low level jet then most models especially compared to GFS. But the idea is the heavy rainfall will mix some of these stronger winds down to the surface…

So the idea is 25-40mph wind gusts inland with 35-50mph gusts closer to the coast. This might change some but here’s a rough idea what might play out. Possibly a little bullish but Euro does ok with baroclinic processes, better than GFS so I’ll do a combo of both…

Given there has and will be a lot of rainfall roots and trees will be very susceptible so power outages are definitely possible for some areas but for now I don’t think they will be widespread and will be contained closer to the coast if they do happen. Hopefully ya’ll stay safe