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BGWX Profile picture
BGWX
@BradyBGWX
Weather is my speciality here. Tracking Canes, Snowstorms, Severe WX. Occasional Storm Chaser. I’m dumber than I sound at times
Sep 1, 2021 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Massachusetts has the potential to see a very high end flood event by the way too I keep hearing PA to CT. Just cause that’s where the high risk doesn’t mean MA isn’t as risk to see some dangerous even borderline life threatening rainfall too. MA is less than 15 miles away from.. Edge of the high risk btw too and the risk for 3-6 and 4-8” of rainfall definitely exists for MA particular around and S of 495. So if you hear PA-CT that doesn’t mean MA is not as risk to see life threatening flash flooding because we most certainly are even if there is a...
Sep 1, 2021 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
The NHC explicitly states in their forecast cone it can multiple categories off days out in advance. That’s why the NHC makes the cone for 1-3 days and why it’s called the extended cone days 4 and 5. The 1st forecast explicitly called for a rapidly intensifying hurricane... The forecast was very clear even 5 days out the potential for a major hurricane was very much increasing in likelihood. The messaging was clear as well along with models indicating a Cat 4 storm was possible. If u can’t understand how the NHC cone works I dont think you should...
Sep 1, 2021 • 7 tweets • 4 min read
My next thread focuses more on New England and Hudson Valley where you can see what I have. To be clear areas outside can see 3-6” even 4-8” too but this is area I’m highlighting most for concern of seeing isolated double digit rainfall totals. Go in depth 👇 #mawx #ctwx #nywx As I mentioned before FGEN banding setup will create forcing and lift in the atmosphere and along that front we’ll have to look for prolific rainfall rates being setup. Imagine in a winter storm where areas that get the most banding we’ll see the most snow but surrounding…
Sep 1, 2021 • 6 tweets • 4 min read
I’m going go out on a limb here and say someone in this highlighted area is probably going to get a foot plus of rain tomorrow. Not widespread to be clear but isolated totals 12”+ are definitely reasonable. I’ll explain below👇 #pawx #njwx #ida #rain #flooding As Ida will be undergoing baroclinic process and transitioning from a tropical depression into a extratropical storm we’ll actually see some similarities to a winter storm. Warm air advection will be playing a part in aiding Frontogenesis tomorrow across the Northeast as…