Thread by @FPL_Architect

GW 4 Wildcard Thread 📝

- Pros and Cons ✅❌
- Fixture Runs 📊
- Foundations ⚙️
- Bargains 💰
- Differentials 🎲
- Players to avoid ❄️
- Wildcard Draft 📈

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Pros and Cons about wildcarding:

Pros:
- Target fixture swings ✅
- Catch price rises and build team value ✅
- Get Ronaldo without taking hits ✅
- Opportunity to jump on value players ✅
- Get rid of failed punts/bad picks ✅

Cons:

- Can’t target GW 7/8 fixture swings as effectively ❌
- 3 GWs is a small sample size, so we might make bad decisions if we only base them on information from GW 1-3 ❌

Fixture Runs to Target 📊

⚪️ Leeds (GW 5-10)

Leeds are heading towards a very appealing fixture run starting in GW 5. If you can bench your Leeds players in GW 4 vs Liverpool, I would definitely include them in a wildcard.

🔵 Everton (GW 4-6)

This fixture run is a bit short term but Burnley, Villa and Norwich in the next three GWs gives Everton assets great potential both offensively and defensively. DCL, Gray and Digne are my favourite picks.

🔴 Arsenal (GW 4-11)

Okay, it is Arsenal and they really don’t impress right now. However, their fixtures look very good from GW 4-11, so you can find good value in the London team. White (4.4) the standout option.

🟠 Wolves (GW 4-14)

Wolves have lost their first 3 games this season, but they have still impressed and put up some promising stats. They can now look forward to a fixture run of almost only easy fixtures from GW 4-14. Semedo and Traore are my favourite FPL picks.

🔵 Chelsea (GW 4, GW 7-11)

A nice GW 4 fixture is followed by 2 more difficult ones, but in GW 7 the fixtures look incredible and so it might be worth including a couple of Chelsea assets in your team for the long term benefit.

Fixture Run to Avoid:

🟣 Aston Villa (GW 4-7)

After having great fixtures GW 1-3, Villa now face a way harder fixture run. Chelsea, Everton, Man Utd and Spurs next makes all Villa assets clear sells in FPL.

Wildcard Foundations ⚙️

🔴 Salah - 12.5
🔴 Trent - 7.5
👹 Ronaldo - 12.5
👹 Shaw - 5.5
⚒️ Antonio - 7.9

Wildcard Bargains 💰

🔵 Duffy - 4.1
🔴 Livramento - 4.1
🟠 Marcal - 4.5

🔵 Gray - 5.6
🟡 Sarr - 6.0
🐝 Mbeumo - 5.5

🟡 Dennis - 5.2
🟢 Pukki - 5.9

Wildcard Differentials 🎲

⚪️ Sergio Reguilon - 5.1
TSB: 9.9%

Spurs have started the season very well and have kept 3 clean sheets in a row. Reguilon has also grabbed 4 bonus points so far. I expect another CS vs Palace in GW 4, and Spurs have okay fixtures until GW 9.

🟠 Adama Traore - 6.0
TSB: 1.8%

In the first 3 GWs, Adama Traore had 2 big chances, created one big chance, had 7 goal attempts in the box, created 9 chances and had an xGI of 2.11. Despite this he blanked in all 3 games, but the stats indicate that returns will come.

🔴 Diogo Jota - 7.6
TSB: 15.5%

If Firmino is confirmed out, I’d say Jota should be in every WC team. Firmino out would mean that Jota is nailed to start and when he starts, he often delivers. He had an xGI/90 of 0.59 last season, which is very good for a player that costs 7.6m.

💎 Ferran Torres - 7.1
TSB: 7.4%

With KDB being injured and Jesus seen as a winger, Ferran Torres seems to have nailed down that striker spot, at least short term. 2 goals, 1 assist and 18 FPL points in GW 3. At only 7.1m, Torres looks like incredibely good value for money.

🟠 Nelson Semedo - 4.9
TSB: 1.5%

Despite playing Leicester, Spurs and Man Utd in the first 3 GWs, Wolves only conceded 3 big chances during this period. This indicates future clean sheets, especially now when the fixtures turn. At only 4.9m, Semedo could prove to be a great pick

More Differentials 🎲

🐝 Raya - 4.5
🔵 Rüdiger - 5.5
💎 Gundogan - 7.3
🟠 Jimenez - 7.4

Wildcard - Players to Avoid ❄️

🔴 Bruno Fernandes - 12.1

With Ronaldo likely taking over Penalty and Freekick duty, I simply don’t think Bruno is worth £12.1m anymore. Downgrade and use the funds to afford Ronaldo, Lukaku or maybe both.

🟣 Danny Ings - 8.0

Villa fixtures take a turn to the bad now, which lessens the appeal of Danny Ings. Also worth noting that his 3 goal involvements this season have come from an xGI of 1.06 which means that he has significantly overperformed. Avoid!

⚪️ Heung Min Son - 10.1

Tottenham haven’t impressed much attacking wise so far this season, hence I wouldn’t invest over £10m in a Spurs player. Go with a budget mid and use the funds to allow a premium striker instead.

Wildcard Draft 📈

If I were to play my WC this week, this would likely be my team ⤵️

Thanks for reading this thread, I hope you found it interesting!

My regular GW Thread will be posted next Wednesday as usual.

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