10/5 Texas C19 Pos%, Case, Hosp & Fatality Update:
THREAD:
* Combined Pos% below 10% as of 9/26
* Cases down 60% from 9/14 peak
* Total Beds tagged C19 down to 12.23%, census below 7800, down 42% from 8/25 peak
* Fatalities peaked 9/1 at 326. Declines since.
1/n
.
10/5 Indicators
* Total positivity rate as of 9/26 at 9.69%
* At the peak of this on 9/13, we were running 1.12 million tests a week. As of 9/26 we're running 821K per week
* Positive Tests are declining much more rapidly than total Tests
* Covidestim Rt at 0.68.
2/n
.
10/5 Cases
* 7DMA Case Peak was 9/14 at 15,419
* 10/5 7DMA is 6,228, down 60% from 9/14
* 7DMA rate of decline near 30% Week over week
* Into a steeper decline than we saw Summer 2020
3/n
.
10/5 Hospitalizations
* Single Day Peak was 8/25 - 13932
* Current census is 7769, lowest since 8/3
* 7DMA declining at a rate of 19.4% week over week
* % of beds tagged as Covid down to 12.23%. Peak was 21.88% on 8/30
* ICU beds in use lowest since 8/8
4/n
.
10/5 - Hosp Covid Admits
* Statewide Admits down 52% from their peak on 8/25
* Statewide 7DMA Rate of Decline of 21% Week over Week
* New admissions are leading indicators on hospitalizations, so we will continue seeing hospitalization declines in the coming days
5/n
.
10/5 Fatalities
* Fatality Peak was 9/1, 326
* Compare to Winter peak of 1/13 - 381. Virtually identical hospitalization curve
* Winter peak had 23 days w over 300 fatalities. Summer 2021 had 3
* Summer 2021 finally overtook Summer 2020 w nearly 40% more hospitalizations
6/n
.
10/5 Conclusion
* Full decline in leading through trailing indicators
* Looks like we will stay in full decline for a while
* All around good week!
7/end
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