Thread by @ssbawa

1/n)
Cases Reported...............= 661
Cases without Positive Test..= 4
Cases Resolved...............= 469
Cases older than 7 days .....= 113 (17.10% of 661)
Oldest case addition/removal.= 2021-02-25

#COVID19 #COVID19ON #onpoli

2/n
The under 20 age group leads the case count.
The case breakdown by date of episode (symptoms onset), and by age group as as following

3/n
Toronto and York from GTA are leading the cases. But the distribution when viewed by population would indicate that GTA is showing much lower incidence rate than other regions.

4/n)
Ontario is reporting 6 deaths today (50s-1/60s-2/70s-1/80s-2). 5 of these are from episode onset within last 4 weeks. 1 is older than 8 weeks.

5/n) Based on the age distribution of the cases reported today, and using their case fatality rates of closed cases with episode dates in last 4 weeks, 99.175% of the cases announced today would be expected to survive.
This is a chart showing CFRs trend over time, split by age.

6/n) The 7-day avg is now 559; up 4% from yesterday. It's up 24% from one week ago and 37% from two weeks ago. The case trend chart is shown below (this chart shows cases by date which can change for past days!

7/n As cases rise, there is a clamor for measures. But we do not see hospitalizations and deaths trend up along with cases.

8/n The other part worth considering is that should we be surprised that respiratory virus cases are rising in fall? The following graph is a blend of Health Canada data on other Coronaviruses, and Ontario SARS-COV2