📣📣 It's been several months, so it's time once again to look at the *county-level* COVID vaccination rates of all 50 states by 2020 partisan lean.
As always, these graphs only include county residents who've received 2 Pfizer/Moderna or 1 J&J dose (boosters not included yet).
📣📣 Other important caveats:
--Every state has a small percent of total vaccinated residents whose county of residence is unknown; those aren't included here.
--The vaccination rates are out of the TOTAL population, not just adults/over 12/over 5.
ALABAMA:
ALASKA. Note that Bristol Bay only has 844 residents.
ARIZONA. Pretty strong partisan correlation here. Also note that ~60% of the total state population is in Maricopa County, which skews the results.
ARKANSAS.
CALIFORNIA. Yeah, that's a pretty steep slope & a pretty strong correlation, I'd say.
COLORADO. Whoa.
CONNECTICUT, DELAWARE, DC, HAWAII & RHODE ISLAND: None of these have more than 8 counties/county-equivalents, so I'm lumping them together.
Note that Kalawao County, HI only has 82 residents, all of whom are either former Hanson's Disease victims or healthcare workers.
FLORIDA. Important:
1. Miami-Dade: The vaxx rate of actual *residents* is almost certainly significantly lower than shown (see link): acasignups.net/21/11/16/snowb…
2. Sumter: This is home of The Villages, the massive MAGA senior/retirement community.
GEORGIA.
IDAHO.
ILLINOIS.
INDIANA.
IOWA.
KANSAS. I seem to recall reading an article about how Graham County managed to have a very successful vaccination program despite being deep red a few months back.
KENTUCKY.
LOUISIANA. I've never gotten a straight answer about how what's going on in West Feliciana Parish other than it being home to the LA State Penitentiary (which has 1/3 of the population)?
MAINE. The slope is shallow but check out that R^2 correlation...nearly a straight shot.
MARYLAND. Montgomery County is kicking ass.
MASSACHUSETTS. Even in a completely blue state, there's *still* a slight partisan pattern.
Note that Dukes & Nantucket are *both* 93% fully vaxxed, according to state health dept. data. Being island resorts I assume they don't have many children as permanent residents?
My home state of MICHIGAN.
Wayne County (home of Detroit) is troubling.
MINNESOTA.
MISSISSIPPI. COVID-19 has killed 1 out of every 290 residents of the state, yet only a single county has vaccinated more than 60% of its population.
MISSOURI. Remember that St. Louis City is a separate census area from St. Louis County.
📣 OK, that's the first half of the states...I should be adding Montana - Wyoming to this thread later this afternoon.
I'll also be running the county-level *death rates since June* for every state later this week for comparison.
Sorry, the other half will have to wait until tomorrow…
📣 OK, HERE'S PART TWO...
MONTANA:
NEBRASKA:
NEVADA (again, keep in mind that Clark County holds 73% of the total state population):
NEW HAMPSHIRE: Only 10 counties, so not many data points to work with:
NEW JERSEY:
NEW MEXICO. R^2 of nearly 0.8.
NEW YORK. Brooklyn & The Bronx need to step it up.
NORTH CAROLINA: Not sure what's up with Hoke County?
NORTH DAKOTA: Most other heavily Native American counties have an extremely *high* vaccination rate, but Sioux County is lagging. Not sure why.
OHIO. Holmes County is just sad.
OKLAHOMA:
OREGON: Take Baker County out of the equation and that's about as straight a line as you'll see.
PENNSYLVANIA:
SOUTH CAROLINA:
SOUTH DAKOTA:
TENNESSEE:
TEXAS: Yeah, I know you can't read most of the county names; TX has 254 of them.
I'm scratching my head about Hudspeth County, but good for them, assuming this isn't a data glitch (it comes from the state health dept):
UTAH:
VERMONT:
VIRGINIA: I think VA is the only state which has both a) a large number of counties/county-equivalents and b) not much of a partisan pattern. Might be connected to their unusual system of half the "counties" being cities?
WASHINGTON STATE:
WEST VIRGINIA. Believe it or not, WV *led* the nation in vaccinations back in March...today it's dead last.
WISCONSIN:
Finally, WYOMING. R-squared: 0.8467.
I call this the "Thor's Twins" graph after the famous scene from The Hunt for Red October.
📣 PUT ALL 3,144 COUNTIES TOGETHER AND HERE'S AMERICA AS OF NOVEMBER 2021:
If you find my work useful & want to support it, you can do so here, thank you!
acasignups.net/support
📣 UPDATE: Here's the weekly county-level *national* graph with additional details:
acasignups.net/21/11/23/weekl…
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