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Cardiff fan with a soft spot for Man United | #FPL Thread Writer | Best OR: #FPL 5k (20/21) | Also playing #SkyFF & #GAFFR | Viva Gareth Bale! 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿

Nov 22, 2021, 25 tweets

📝MY GW13 THREAD

Trying a new format this GW. Would love to get your feedback! 👍🏻

🔎 GW12
📸 Snapshot
🍕 Takeaways

🔎 GW13
🗓️ Game by Game
©️ Captaincy
🔮 Predictions
📈 Differentials
🔥 Hot Property
🗑️ Top Binned
🚌 Bus Team

#FPL #FPLCommunity #GW13

📸 GW12 SNAPSHOT
➡️ DEFENCE/TEAMS

Games: 10
Clean Sheets: 5

⬇️ CONCEDED

SHOTS
🔺Most: BRE(23),MUN(20),ARS(19)
🔻Least: MCI/CHE(4),LIV(5)

BIG CHANCES
🔺Most: EVE/ARS/LEI(5)
🔻Least: 5 TEAMS (0)

xGC
🔺Most: ARS(3.30),BRE(2.88)
🔻Least: MCI(0.32),LIV(0.52)

📸 GW12 SNAPSHOT
➡️ ATTACK/TEAMS

Games: 10
Goals: 36

SHOTS
🔺Most: NEW(23),WAT(20),LIV(19)
🔻Least: LEI/EVE(4),ARS(5)

BIG CHANCES
🔺Most: LIV/MCI/CHE(5)
🔻Least: 5 TEAMS (0)

xG
🔺Most: LIV(3.30),NEW(2.88)
🔻Least: EVE(0.32),ARS(0.52)

📸 GW12 SNAPSHOT
➡️ PLAYERS

POINTS
1️⃣ TAA/Mings (15)
2️⃣ Rudiger/Dennis (14)

MOST SHOTS
1️⃣ D.James/ASM (7)
2️⃣ Wilson/King (6)
3️⃣ Benteke (5)

xG
1️⃣ Sterling (1.19)
2️⃣ King (1.02)
3️⃣ D.James 1.01)

xA
1️⃣ TAA (0.98)
2️⃣ Gallagher (0.90)
3️⃣ Moura (0.85)

🍕GW12 TAKEAWAYS

🌭 Chilwell/James fantastic once again. An assist for each but both could been a lot more. Rudiger with the goal this week.

🍟 NEW better going forward, most shots of GW12. 13 shots between Wilson/ASM alone.

🍔 Big NOR win with Pukki back in the goals.

🍕 GW12 TAKEAWAYS

🌮 Benteke a threat throughout, 5 SiB, 2 goals. £6.3m

🥪 Dennis great for WAT getting himself 2 assists, my MOTM vs MUN

🌯 LIV excellent. Mane, Mo, Jota were clinical whilst TAA back to his best

🥙 MCI cruising right now. That Cancelo assist was special

📄WELCOME TO GW13
🍀 (Unlucky for Some)

⏰ DEADLINE:
11.00am SAT 27th NOV (UK)

🏆 EUROPE:
Reminder that MCI, LIV, MUN, CHE, TOT, WHU & LEI all play in Europe midweek. As always holding out on making your FT is recommended.

⬇️ LEAGUE TABLE/TOP SCORERS:

🔴ARS vs NEW⚫

Whilst NEW sit the bottom of the league I expect them to give ARS a game with Wilson & ASM particularly causing them problems. That said, ARS should have enough in attack to secure the 3 points but I see both teams scoring. If you own ASM or Wilson, play them!

🟣CRY vs AVL🟣

I admit I didn't think Viera would work at CRY, I was wrong! He's getting the best out of his players & none more so than Benteke who's now scored 4 in last 5. Gallagher also continues to shine!

AVL with a win vs BHA in GW12 but no interest in them just yet!

🔴LIV vs SOU🔴

LIV have the most goals in the PL (35) & comfortably have the most shots (233) & big chances (46). Salah, Mane, Jota looked great vs ARS in GW12 whilst TAA is back to his very best. I just don't see SOU getting anything here. LIV are given a 49% to get +2.5 goals.

🟡NOR vs WOL🟠

Back to back wins takes NOR off the foot of the table & Pukki back in the goals. But it's Jimenez that catches my attention the most ahead of this one; 6 returns in the last 7 GWs with NOR & BUR in the next two. An option for anyone jumping who's off Antonio.

🔵BHA vs LEE⚪

Worth noting that Sanchez is back from suspension this week, which will boost the BHA defence.

Raphinha's fitness is unknown, if he doesn't play I see a CS for the home team given LEE injury woes & lack of creativity.

I think Lamptey is worth consideration!

🔴BRE vs EVE🔵

EVE have conceded the most big chances (18th) between GW8-GW12, in the same period they've conceded 71 Shots (15th), 47 inside the box (16th) resulting in 11 goals conceded (19th). No DCL, Richarlison, Doucoure & Gray is a doubt. I fancy a BRE win & clean sheet.

🟣BUR vs TOT⚪

BUR have conceded most shots (86) & shots in the box (63) since GW8, which will encourage Kane & Son owners. TOT improved in the 2nd half vs LEE & Conte will expect them to push on at Turf Moor.

Also worth noting BUR's OOP mid Cornet has 4 goals in last 4 games!

🔵LEI vs WAT🟡

WAT still without a CS in the PL this season but will be confident after their win vs MUN in GW12. LEI have just 1 CS whilst talisman Vardy has failed to score in the last 4 games.

I really fancy the WAT front 3 to cause this LEI defence problems this weekend.

🔵MCI vs WHU🟣

MCI cruising at the moment, last two GWs Cancelo has shone grabbing himself 3 assists & 26 #FPL points & playing very advanced role. Foden & B.Silva also worth consideration.

Antonio's 1 goal in last 7 league games a worry. For those holding..bench this week?

🔵CHE vs MUN🔴

CHE have created most big chances since GW7 whilst Chilwell & James are shining as key assets, both should be considered for a CHE defensive double up. Bookies give CHE a 48% chance of CS in GW13 whilst MUN have had the least shots in the PL over the last 3 GW's.

©️ GW13 CAPTAINCY
➡️ SALAH

As always he's Mr Safety. With a very appealing home fixture vs SOU this weekend you'll need a fair set of balls to bet against him.

11 goals & 8 assists so far this season. Absolutely dominates the attacking stats.

🔒Locked as my GW13 captain.

©️ GW13 CAPTAINCY
➡️ THE FULL BACKS

If your armband isn't on Mo this weekend then the best alternatives are probably the full backs who could all get clean sheets & attacking returns again

In order..

1st. TAA vs SOU
2nd. Cancelo vs WHU
3rd. James vs MUN
4th. Chilwell vs MUN

🔮 PREDICTIONS
➡️ Highest Scorers

1️⃣ Salah - 7.55
2️⃣ Kane - 6.93
3️⃣ Vardy - 6.79
4️⃣ Son - 6.54
5️⃣ Mane - 6.52
6️⃣ TAA - 6.25
7️⃣ Foden - 6.00
8️⃣ Aubameyang - 5.70
9️⃣ Jimenez - 5.57
🔟 Barnes - 5.38

* Taken from @FFH_HQ

🔮 PREDICTIONS

🥅 Clean Sheet %
1️⃣ CHE & LIV - 48%
2️⃣ MCI - 45%
3️⃣ ARS - 44%
4️⃣ LEI, TOT & WOL - 38%

⚽ Over 2.5 Goals %
1️⃣ LIV & MCI - 49%
2️⃣ ARS & LEI - 31%
3️⃣ CHE - 25%
4️⃣ TOT - 23%

* Taken from @drafthound

📈 DIFFERENTIAL CENTRAL

1️⃣ AUBAMEYANG
Price: £9.9M
Fixture: NEW (H)
TSB: 4.2%

2️⃣ BENTEKE
Price: £6.3M
Fixture: AVL (H)
TSB: 2.0%

3️⃣ LAMPTEY
Price: £4.4%
Fixture: LEE (H)
TSB: 0.8%

🔥 HOT PROPERTY

Players most booted OUT ahead of GW13 so far:

1️⃣ TAA - 228k
2️⃣ James - 208k
3️⃣ Gallagher - 205k
4️⃣ ESR - 144k
5️⃣ Cancelo - 140k
6️⃣ Jimenez - 131k

I mean why don't the 228k already own Trent? Either way there's no surprises here..

⏰ As of Monday @ 7pm (UK)

🗑️ TOP BINNED

Players most booted OUT ahead of GW13 so far:

1️⃣ Antonio - 128k
2️⃣ Benrahma - 106k
3️⃣ Ronaldo - 103k
4️⃣ Vardy - 95k
5️⃣ Dias - 95k
6️⃣ Tielmans - 72k

Antonio owners losing patience, how many will be getting him back for GW16 or GW18?

⏰ As of Monday @ 7pm (UK)

🚌 GW13 BUS TEAM

Price changes forced my hand this week, made an early move despite CL! 😳

©️ Mo Salah
🔄 Dias to R. James

⚖️ SQUAD BALANCE
🔴 Antonio
🟠 Toney, Raphinha, Kane
🟡 Chilwell, James, ESR, Gallagher
🟢 Salah, TAA, Sanchez, Foster, Liveramento, Cancelo, Brownhill

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