John Roberts Profile picture
Actuary for far too many years. Welsh, but now live in the spiritual home of the Wurzels out west. Don’t think I’ve got the accent yet. Like zider though...

Dec 23, 2021, 6 tweets

Thu🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿booster/3rd primary update:

695k reported today, up just 11%, but after last week's 84% increase it still means it's more than double the figure of two weeks ago.

Total is now 26.6m, being 71% of those eligible by the year end.

1/

The low % increase today means a flattening of the previous steep curve over the last 10 days, which isn't at all surprising.

Whilst we haven't quite hit the target to get 90% done, in practice I doubt take-up will be that high, particularly amongst younger adults.

2/

Next the age-banded analysis, with the dark purple showing progress since the accelerated campaign started. Pale blue bars now sum to just over 10.5m, or just under 7m if 90% come forward in aggregate.

3/

Here are current take-up proportions. We've done 87% of the Over 50s and 92% over aged 65. A bit more progress further down over the rest of the year would be very welcome though, although the large number of positive tests will mean some can't come forward unfortunately.

4/

Next progress over the last month.

Although most of the activity is lower down, I was pleased to see 70-79 nudge up to 94% today and 80+ is still going up by around 0.3% a day so should get to 90% in due course.

50-59 hit 80% today too with a remarkably linear line.

5/

So in summary, some great protection now for the oldest most vulnerable age groups, thanks to a herculean effort by all those involved. Thanks as ever to all involved from the top down to all those involved in the vax centres up and down the country.

6/6

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